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Antigua vs Esteli

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Central American Cup Estadio Pensativo, Antigua Guatemala
Antigua Logo

Antigua

0 - 2
FT
Esteli Logo

Esteli

Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Ardon J.
17'
Rosales J.
25'
Casado E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Antigua
15%
Draws
58%
Esteli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Esteli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Esteli have won more games recently than Antigua.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Esteli taking it.
  • Esteli arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Esteli, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Antigua Clean Sheet 18%
Esteli Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Antigua Esteli
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 18
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 1.46 2
Goals Conceded 1.39 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Antigua vs Esteli
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Antigua Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Esteli Compare

Top Goalscorer Barrera J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Castillo E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Antigua 15 / 100
Esteli 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Antigua Esteli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EST Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Antigua scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Esteli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 28 matches.

Antigua has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Antigua VS Esteli
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Antigua

(Home)
05 Aug
Antigua
0 : 2
Esteli
30 Jul
Alianza FC
2 : 1
Antigua
25 Jul
Antigua
3 : 1
Marquense
03 May
Comunicaciones
2 : 0
Antigua
30 Apr
Antigua
3 : 2
Comunicaciones
Page 1 of 6

Esteli

(Away)
05 Aug
Antigua
0 : 2
Esteli
30 Jul
Jalapa
0 : 1
Esteli
26 Jul
Esteli
2 : 0
Matagalpa
18 Jul
Esteli
1 : 1
UNAN-Managua
11 Jul
Esteli
2 : 0
Xilotepelt
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alajuelense 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Diriangen 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
3 Plaza Amador 2 1 0 1 4:5 3
4 Luis Angel Firpo 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
5 Xelaju 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza FC 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
2 Esteli 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Marathon 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Herediano 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
5 Antigua 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Saprissa 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
3 Alianza 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
4 UMECIT 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
5 Deportivo Mixco 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Motagua 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
2 Municipal 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Cartagines 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 FAS 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
5 Verdes 2 0 0 2 0:6 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)