Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Antigua vs Iztapa

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Hernandez C.
7'
Sub
Punay A. In: Jimenez C.
Out: Punay A.
23' Event
Castellanos O.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2022/2023 game between Antigua and Iztapa finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Antigua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Antigua
15%
Draws
26%
Iztapa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Antigua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Antigua come out ahead of Iztapa on wins alone.
  • Model gives Antigua a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Antigua Clean Sheet 16%
Iztapa Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Antigua Iztapa
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.87 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2023 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Iztapa
5:2
Feb 19, 2023 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Antigua
2:1
Nov 6, 2022 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Iztapa
4:1
Aug 28, 2022 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Antigua
4:1
Apr 24, 2022 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Antigua
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Antigua Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Castellanos O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Iztapa Compare

Top Goalscorer Dieguez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Albizures C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Antigua 84 / 100
Iztapa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Antigua Iztapa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Antigua Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Antigua's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Iztapa conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Antigua has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Antigua VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Antigua

(Home)
24 Sept
Xelaju
4 : 0
Antigua
15 Sept
Antigua
3 : 2
Suchitepequez
11 Sept
Malacateco
0 : 2
Antigua
05 Sept
Antigua
2 : 1
Aurora F.C.
30 Aug
Deportivo San Pedro
4 : 3
Antigua
Page 1 of 7

Iztapa

(Away)
07 May
Deportivo Achuapa
5 : 3
Iztapa
03 May
Municipal
4 : 0
Iztapa
30 Apr
Iztapa
1 : 0
Santa Lucia
23 Apr
Guastatoya
1 : 1
Iztapa
19 Apr
Iztapa
1 : 5
Comunicaciones
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comunicaciones 22 12 9 1 37:16 45
2 Municipal 22 13 4 5 44:21 43
3 Xelaju 22 12 7 3 31:9 43
4 Xinabajul 22 8 7 7 27:29 31
5 Guastatoya 22 7 8 7 28:22 29
6 Deportivo Mixco 22 7 8 7 23:24 29
7 Antigua 22 8 5 9 33:37 29
8 Deportivo Achuapa 22 7 5 10 24:44 26
9 Coban Imperial 22 6 7 9 16:17 25
10 Iztapa 22 5 5 12 30:49 20
11 Malacateco 22 4 7 11 24:33 19
12 Santa Lucia 22 5 4 13 14:30 19
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2022/2023 (Clausura - Play Offs)