Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Antigua vs Municipal

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Pensativo, Antigua Guatemala
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Maziero A.
12'
Robinson A.
18'
Franco J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2025/2026 game between Antigua and Municipal finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Antigua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Antigua
20%
Draws
44%
Municipal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Municipal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Municipal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Municipal taking it.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Antigua Clean Sheet 17%
Municipal Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Antigua Municipal
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 19
Draws 4 7
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 1.69 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.48 0.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Municipal
1:0
Feb 22, 2026 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Antigua
4:2
Dec 28, 2025 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Antigua
1:0
Dec 22, 2025 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Municipal
2:0
Nov 23, 2025 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Antigua
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Antigua Compare

Top Goalscorer Maziero A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Municipal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Antigua 20 / 100
Municipal 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Antigua Municipal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Municipal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Antigua scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Antigua remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Municipal has conceded goals in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Antigua VS Municipal
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Antigua

(Home)
27 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 1
Antigua
24 Sept
Xelaju
4 : 0
Antigua
15 Sept
Antigua
3 : 2
Suchitepequez
11 Sept
Malacateco
0 : 2
Antigua
05 Sept
Antigua
2 : 1
Aurora F.C.
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Municipal

(Away)
25 Sept
Municipal
3 : 0
Suchitepequez
14 Sept
Municipal
2 : 2
Malacateco
10 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 2
Municipal
06 Sept
Municipal
0 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
30 Aug
Comunicaciones
0 : 1
Municipal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Xelaju 22 11 6 5 34:19 39
2 Municipal 22 11 5 6 32:21 38
3 Deportivo Mixco 22 10 6 6 30:26 36
4 Comunicaciones 22 11 2 9 28:26 35
5 Antigua 22 9 7 6 34:29 34
6 Coban Imperial 22 8 8 6 29:22 32
7 Guastatoya 22 8 7 7 29:21 31
8 Marquense 22 9 3 10 25:29 30
9 Mictlan 22 7 6 9 25:36 27
10 Malacateco 22 6 4 12 19:25 22
11 Aurora F.C. 22 4 8 10 14:30 20
12 Deportivo Achuapa 22 5 4 13 17:32 19
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)