Sport Picks

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Antigua vs Zacapa

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2024/2025 Estadio Pensativo, Antigua Guatemala
Sat, Feb 1, 2025
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Antigua host Zacapa in the Liga Nacional 2024/2025. Antigua go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Antigua at 1.85 goals for, 1.26 against; Zacapa at 0.36 for, 1.86 against. Head-to-head, Antigua have won 3 to Zacapa's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2025, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.29 - 1.44) back Antigua to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Antigua
15%
Draws
8%
Zacapa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Antigua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Antigua have won more games recently than Zacapa.
  • Antigua are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Antigua Clean Sheet 16%
Zacapa Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Antigua Zacapa
Matches Played 34 14
Wins 19 0
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.85 0.36
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 Liga Nacional
Zacapa vs Antigua
0:0
Feb 1, 2025 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Zacapa
0:0
Nov 24, 2024 Liga Nacional
Zacapa vs Antigua
1:2
Sep 1, 2024 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Zacapa
3:0
Mar 3, 2024 Liga Nacional
Zacapa vs Antigua
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Antigua 41 / 100
Zacapa 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Antigua Zacapa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Antigua scored in 82% of their last 34 outings.

Defensive concern: Zacapa conceded in 79% of 14 recent games.

Antigua has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Zacapa registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Antigua VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Antigua

(Home)
24 Sept
Xelaju
4 : 0
Antigua
15 Sept
Antigua
3 : 2
Suchitepequez
11 Sept
Malacateco
0 : 2
Antigua
05 Sept
Antigua
2 : 1
Aurora F.C.
30 Aug
Deportivo San Pedro
4 : 3
Antigua
Page 1 of 7

Zacapa

(Away)
24 Nov
Zacapa
1 : 2
Antigua
21 Nov
Zacapa
0 : 1
Deportivo Mixco
10 Nov
Coban Imperial
3 : 1
Zacapa
03 Nov
Zacapa
0 : 0
Comunicaciones
27 Oct
Xinabajul
2 : 0
Zacapa
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Municipal 20 10 5 5 26:18 35
2 Comunicaciones 20 9 6 5 27:24 33
3 Antigua 20 9 5 6 30:24 32
4 Coban Imperial 20 10 2 8 26:25 32
5 Malacateco 20 8 5 7 30:26 29
6 Guastatoya 20 8 5 7 21:22 29
7 Marquense 20 7 6 7 18:19 27
8 Deportivo Mixco 20 6 7 7 21:23 25
9 Xelaju 20 6 6 8 28:25 24
10 Deportivo Achuapa 20 5 4 11 18:23 19
11 Xinabajul 20 4 5 11 21:37 17
12 Zacapa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2024/2025 (Clausura - Play Offs)