Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Antofagasta vs Magallanes

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Regional de Antofagasta, Antofagasta
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Hurtado B.
46'
Sub
Hurtado B. In: Gallegos Panozzo M.
Out: Hurtado B.
46'
Sub
Abuhadba Z. In: Ibacache A.
Out: Abuhadba Z.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Antofagasta
35%
Draws
40%
Magallanes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Magallanes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Antofagasta lately — more wins on the board than Magallanes.
  • Antofagasta are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Antofagasta Clean Sheet 19%
Magallanes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Antofagasta Magallanes
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.86 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Antofagasta vs Magallanes
0:0
Oct 26, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Magallanes vs Antofagasta
1:0
Jun 15, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Antofagasta vs Magallanes
5:0
Oct 7, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Magallanes vs Antofagasta
1:0
May 19, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Antofagasta vs Magallanes
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Antofagasta 36 / 100
Magallanes 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Antofagasta Magallanes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Magallanes conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Antofagasta's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Antofagasta remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Antofagasta VS Magallanes
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Antofagasta

(Home)
27 Sept
Antofagasta
4 : 1
Deportes Iquique
23 Sept
Deportes Iquique
1 : 1
Antofagasta
15 Sept
San Luis
2 : 1
Antofagasta
10 Sept
Antofagasta
0 : 0
Cobreloa
06 Sept
Antofagasta
1 : 2
Recoleta
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Magallanes

(Away)
13 Sept
Magallanes
2 : 0
D. Puerto Montt
09 Sept
Copiapo
1 : 1
Magallanes
05 Sept
Magallanes
0 : 0
San Felipe
29 Aug
S. Wanderers
2 : 1
Magallanes
22 Aug
Magallanes
1 : 0
Deportes Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cobreloa 25 12 9 4 43:27 45
2 S. Wanderers 25 12 8 5 40:26 44
3 San Luis 24 11 8 5 38:29 41
4 Magallanes 25 11 7 7 41:38 40
5 Antofagasta 25 10 8 7 42:26 38
6 Recoleta 25 10 8 7 36:33 38
7 San Marcos de Arica 25 9 9 7 31:23 36
8 U. Espanola 25 10 6 9 32:32 36
9 Copiapo 25 9 7 9 37:39 34
10 D. Puerto Montt 25 10 4 11 26:31 34
11 Deportes Temuco 25 8 8 9 40:35 32
12 Deportes Iquique 25 6 10 9 33:30 28
13 Curico Unido 25 6 9 10 22:38 24
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 25 4 10 11 26:38 22
15 San Felipe 24 5 7 12 16:41 22
16 Rangers 25 4 6 15 23:40 18
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)