Sport Picks
Antofagasta vs Recoleta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Chile
Liga de Ascenso Estadio Regional de Antofagasta, Antofagasta 
Match Events
11'
11'
Alarcon F.
23'
23'
Hurtado B.
46'
46'
Sub
Rodriguez C. In: Viveros D.
Out: Rodriguez C.
AI Match Summary
The Liga de Ascenso game between Antofagasta and Recoleta finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Recoleta.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Recoleta
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Recoleta haven't matched Antofagasta's recent run of results.
- 33% — that's where the model lands on Antofagasta taking it.
- Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Antofagasta Clean Sheet 20%
Recoleta Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Antofagasta | Recoleta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.87 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Antofagasta vs Recoleta
1:2
Apr 26, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Recoleta vs Antofagasta
0:2
Aug 17, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Antofagasta vs Recoleta
0:0
Apr 12, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Recoleta vs Antofagasta
1:2
Sep 1, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Recoleta vs Antofagasta
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Antofagasta Compare
Top Goalscorer Bandez J. D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Recoleta Compare
Top Goalscorer Alarcon F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Flores F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Antofagasta 49 / 100
Recoleta 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Antofagasta Recoleta
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Antofagasta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Antofagasta's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Recoleta has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Antofagasta has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Antofagasta VS Recoleta
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Antofagasta
(Home) 07 Oct
Antofagasta
2 : 0 U. De Chile
04 Oct
Antofagasta
2 : 0 Rangers
27 Sept
Antofagasta
4 : 1 Deportes Iquique
23 Sept
Deportes Iquique
1 : 1 Antofagasta
15 Sept
San Luis
2 : 1 Antofagasta
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Antofagasta
2 : 0 U. De Chile
04 Oct
Antofagasta
2 : 0 Rangers
27 Sept
Antofagasta
4 : 1 Deportes Iquique
10 Sept
Antofagasta
0 : 0 Cobreloa
06 Sept
Antofagasta
1 : 2 Recoleta
Page 1 of 3
Recoleta
(Away) 03 Oct
Recoleta
2 : 1 S. Wanderers
14 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
0 : 0 Recoleta
09 Sept
Recoleta
2 : 1 San Marcos de Arica
06 Sept
Antofagasta
1 : 2 Recoleta
30 Aug
Curico Unido
0 : 0 Recoleta
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
0 : 0 Recoleta
06 Sept
Antofagasta
1 : 2 Recoleta
30 Aug
Curico Unido
0 : 0 Recoleta
18 Aug
Deportes Temuco
1 : 1 Recoleta
08 Aug
San Felipe
0 : 0 Recoleta
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 44:27 | 48 |
| 2 | San Luis | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 41:29 | 47 |
| 3 | S. Wanderers | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 41:28 | 44 |
| 4 | Magallanes | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 42:38 | 43 |
| 5 | Antofagasta | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 44:26 | 41 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 38:34 | 41 |
| 7 | San Marcos de Arica | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 33:24 | 39 |
| 8 | Copiapo | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 40:39 | 37 |
| 9 | U. Espanola | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32:34 | 36 |
| 10 | D. Puerto Montt | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 26:34 | 34 |
| 11 | Deportes Temuco | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 40:36 | 32 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 35:30 | 31 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 22:39 | 24 |
| 14 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 27:40 | 22 |
| 15 | San Felipe | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 16:44 | 22 |
| 16 | Rangers | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23:42 | 18 |
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)
