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Antofagasta vs U. De Chile - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Regional de Antofagasta, Antofagasta
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Cuadra A.
22'
Diaz M.
34'
Monreal J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Antofagasta
20%
Draws
40%
U. De Chile
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • U. De Chile have won more games recently than Antofagasta.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Antofagasta taking it.
  • U. De Chile arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor U. De Chile, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Antofagasta Clean Sheet 18%
U. De Chile Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Antofagasta U. De Chile
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 17
Draws 9 5
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.93 1.86
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Copa Chile
Antofagasta vs U. De Chile
2:0
Jul 10, 2022 Liga de Primera
Antofagasta vs U. De Chile
1:1
Feb 12, 2022 Liga de Primera
U. De Chile vs Antofagasta
2:1
Oct 3, 2021 Liga de Primera
U. De Chile vs Antofagasta
2:2
May 9, 2021 Liga de Primera
Antofagasta vs U. De Chile
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Antofagasta Compare

Top Goalscorer Tapia B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bandez J. D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

U. De Chile Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Antofagasta 40 / 100
U. De Chile 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Antofagasta U. De Chile

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Antofagasta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Antofagasta's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

U. De Chile's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Antofagasta went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Antofagasta VS U. De Chile
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Antofagasta

(Home)
07 Oct
Antofagasta
2 : 0
U. De Chile
04 Oct
Antofagasta
2 : 0
Rangers
27 Sept
Antofagasta
4 : 1
Deportes Iquique
23 Sept
Deportes Iquique
1 : 1
Antofagasta
15 Sept
San Luis
2 : 1
Antofagasta
Page 1 of 6

U. De Chile

(Away)
07 Oct
Antofagasta
2 : 0
U. De Chile
27 Sept
U. De Chile
1 : 1
Everton
27 Sept
Everton
0 : 1
U. De Chile
13 Sept
La Serena
0 : 3
U. De Chile
06 Sept
U. De Chile
4 : 2
Coquimbo
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Colo Colo 1
A. Italiano 0
Nublense 2
D. Puerto Montt 3
Deportes Santa Cruz 2
O Higgins 5
D. Concepcion 6
Curico Unido 0
U. De Chile 2
Everton 1
Antofagasta 5
Deportes Iquique 2
U. Catolica 1
Union La Calera 2
Coquimbo 4
Cobreloa 2
Quarter-finals
Colo Colo 2
D. Puerto Montt 0
O Higgins 3
D. Concepcion 0
U. De Chile 0
Antofagasta 2
Union La Calera -
Coquimbo -
Semi-finals
TBD -
O Higgins -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -