Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Antwerp vs Anderlecht

Belgium Belgium

Belgian Cup Bosuilstadion, Deurne
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Saliba N.
Assist: De Cat N.
5'
Kerk G.
34'
Scott C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-4. The second leg ended 0-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Antwerp
20%
Draws
52%
Anderlecht
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Anderlecht

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Anderlecht come out ahead of Antwerp on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Anderlecht arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Anderlecht, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Antwerp Clean Sheet 20%
Anderlecht Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Antwerp Anderlecht
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 9 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2026 Belgian Cup
Antwerp vs Anderlecht
0:4
Feb 5, 2026 Belgian Cup
Anderlecht vs Antwerp
0:1
Dec 21, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Antwerp vs Anderlecht
2:2
Sep 20, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Anderlecht vs Antwerp
0:0
May 1, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Antwerp vs Anderlecht
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Antwerp Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Anderlecht Compare

Top Goalscorer Saliba N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Degreef T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Antwerp 32 / 100
Anderlecht 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Antwerp Anderlecht

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Anderlecht let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Antwerp remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Antwerp scored in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Antwerp VS Anderlecht
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Antwerp

(Home)
02 Aug
Leyton Orient
2 : 1
Antwerp
01 Aug
Millwall
1 : 0
Antwerp
25 Jul
Antwerp
1 : 1
Lierse SK
24 Jul
Antwerp
3 : 0
Olympiacos Piraeus
19 Jul
Hasselt
0 : 2
Antwerp
Page 1 of 6

Anderlecht

(Away)
06 Aug
PAOK
0 : 1
Anderlecht
30 Jul
Anderlecht
3 : 1
Hammarby
23 Jul
Hammarby
1 : 1
Anderlecht
15 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
0 : 1
Anderlecht
11 Jul
Anderlecht
3 : 2
Nijmegen
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
RFC Liege 0
Charleroi 1
KV Mechelen 2
Lierse SK 1
RFC Seraing 1
Leuven 3
Club Brugge 6
Eendracht Aalst 1
Dender 4
OC Charleroi 2
SK Beveren 1
St. Liege 2
Tubize-Braine 0
Royale Union SG 3
Belisia Bilzen 1
Waregem 4
Genk 3
RWDM Brussels 0
Ninove 0
Anderlecht 2
Cercle Brugge 1
Kortrijk 0
Gent 5
Patro Eisden 0
Antwerp 3
Eupen 1
Knokke 0
St. Truiden 1
Beerschot VA 3
Westerlo 2
Heist 1
RAAL La Louviere 2
1/8-finals
Charleroi 2
KV Mechelen 0
Leuven 1
Club Brugge 2
Dender 3
St. Liege 2
Royale Union SG 2
Waregem 1
Genk 1
Anderlecht 3
Cercle Brugge 1
Gent 3
Antwerp 4
St. Truiden 3
Beerschot VA 1
RAAL La Louviere 2
Quarter-finals
Charleroi 2
Club Brugge 0
Dender 0
Royale Union SG 2
Anderlecht 1
Gent 0
Antwerp 2
RAAL La Louviere 1
Semi-finals
Charleroi 1
Royale Union SG 4
Anderlecht 4
Antwerp 1
Final
Royale Union SG 3
Anderlecht 1