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Anzhi vs Chernomorets Novorossijsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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FNL 2 - Group 1 2021/2022 Anzhi Arena, Kaspijsk
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Kirilenko V.
15'
Gaydarov S.
21' Event
Shihbabaev M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this FNL 2 - Group 1 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Anzhi
15%
Draws
51%
Chernomorets Novorossijsk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chernomorets Novorossijsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chernomorets Novorossijsk lately — more wins on the board than Anzhi.
  • 34% — that's where the model lands on Anzhi taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Anzhi Clean Sheet 68%
Chernomorets Novorossijsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anzhi Chernomorets Novorossijsk
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 10 13
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.4 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 3.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 1
Anzhi vs Chernomorets Novorossijsk
1:1
Aug 21, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 1
Chernomorets Novorossijsk vs Anzhi
2:0
Apr 15, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 1
Chernomorets Novorossijsk vs Anzhi
4:1
Sep 25, 2020 FNL 2 - Group 1
Anzhi vs Chernomorets Novorossijsk
2:2
Mar 15, 2020 FNL 2 - Group 1
Anzhi vs Chernomorets Novorossijsk
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Anzhi Compare

Top Goalscorer Shihbabaev M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Chernomorets Novorossijsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Panamarev N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.9
Avg xA / game 1.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anzhi 59 / 100
Chernomorets Novorossijsk 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anzhi Chernomorets Novorossijsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Anzhi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Anzhi's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Chernomorets Novorossijsk has conceded goals in 77% of their last 35 outings.

Chernomorets Novorossijsk's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Anzhi VS Chernomorets Novorossijsk
1 Goals Scored 1.38
5 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Anzhi

(Home)
28 Jul
Anzhi
1 : 5
Izberbash
05 Jun
R. Volgograd 2
0 : 4
Anzhi
29 May
Dynamo Makhachkala
2 : 0
Anzhi
23 May
Anzhi
2 : 2
Forte Taganrog
16 May
Kuban Kholding
1 : 0
Anzhi
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Chernomorets Novorossijsk

(Away)
16 May
Chernomorets Novorossijsk
2 : 1
Ural
08 May
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
0 : 2
Chernomorets Novorossijsk
02 May
Chernomorets Novorossijsk
1 : 3
Rodina Moscow
26 Apr
Chernomorets Novorossijsk
0 : 1
Saratov
22 Apr
Neftekhimik
4 : 0
Chernomorets Novorossijsk
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dynamo Makhachkala 32 25 5 2 62:12 80
2 SKA Rostov-on-Don 32 24 4 4 71:22 76
3 FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 32 21 7 4 88:24 70
4 Forte Taganrog 32 17 10 5 55:31 61
5 Chernomorets Novorossijsk 32 18 6 8 70:35 60
6 Kuban Kholding 32 15 9 8 46:31 54
7 Legion Makhachkala 32 12 10 10 44:31 46
8 Biolog 32 11 11 10 50:45 44
9 Anzhi 32 13 9 10 46:35 42
10 Spartak Nalchik 32 10 10 12 32:28 40
11 Maykop 32 7 11 14 25:44 32
12 Mashuk 32 7 10 15 47:54 31
13 Dynamo Stavropol 32 7 8 17 40:57 29
14 Tuapse 32 12 2 18 36:60 29
15 R. Volgograd 2 32 5 6 21 26:74 21
16 Alania 2 32 2 6 24 32:97 12
17 Yessentuki 32 2 4 26 16:106 10
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