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AO Proodeftiki vs Ellopiakos

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024
AO Proodeftiki Logo

AO Proodeftiki

2 - 3
FT
Ellopiakos Logo

Ellopiakos

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ellopiakos in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ellopiakos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
AO Proodeftiki
15%
Draws
39%
Ellopiakos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AO Proodeftiki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • AO Proodeftiki average 1.41 goals a game right now, well clear of Ellopiakos's 1.33.
  • AO Proodeftiki are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
AO Proodeftiki Clean Sheet 68%
Ellopiakos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AO Proodeftiki Ellopiakos
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 5 9
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.41 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
AO Proodeftiki vs Ellopiakos
2:3
Oct 14, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Ellopiakos vs AO Proodeftiki
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AO Proodeftiki 95 / 100
Ellopiakos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AO Proodeftiki Ellopiakos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AO Proodeftiki Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

AO Proodeftiki found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Ellopiakos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Solid form: AO Proodeftiki remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AO Proodeftiki VS Ellopiakos
2 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AO Proodeftiki

(Home)
28 Apr
AO Proodeftiki
2 : 0
Fostiras
24 Apr
Agios Nikolaos
2 : 0
AO Proodeftiki
20 Apr
AO Proodeftiki
2 : 1
AO Ilisiakos
14 Apr
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 2
AO Proodeftiki
07 Apr
AO Proodeftiki
5 : 0
Paraskevi
Page 1 of 6

Ellopiakos

(Away)
28 Apr
Ellopiakos
3 : 3
Ipato
24 Apr
Ellopiakos
2 : 0
Ermis Zonianon
20 Apr
Apollon Smyrnis
0 : 1
Ellopiakos
14 Apr
Ellopiakos
1 : 0
Chaidari
07 Apr
Panionios
5 : 0
Ellopiakos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panionios 34 26 6 2 81:22 84
2 Ethnikos Piraeus 34 20 12 2 61:19 72
3 Almyros Gaziou 34 17 12 5 59:28 63
4 Aris Petroupolis 34 18 6 10 47:38 60
5 AO Ilisiakos 34 16 9 9 43:29 57
6 Ipato 34 14 9 11 45:34 51
7 Atsalenios FC 34 14 8 12 41:33 50
8 Agios Nikolaos 34 14 10 10 55:38 49
9 Chaidari 34 13 10 11 39:29 49
10 Ellopiakos 34 13 9 12 45:43 48
11 AO Proodeftiki 34 14 6 14 47:38 48
12 Apollon Smyrnis 34 10 12 12 39:37 42
13 Ermis Zonianon 34 9 10 15 36:54 37
14 Episkopi 34 9 10 15 40:54 37
15 Peramaikos 34 9 3 22 32:58 30
16 Fostiras 34 6 13 15 29:40 28
17 Paraskevi 34 5 5 24 26:82 17
18 Atromitos Piraeus 34 3 2 29 16:105 11
Promotion - Super League 2 2024/2025 (Main)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Relegation Play-offs (Main)