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AO Tympakiou vs Ergotelis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 10
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AO Tympakiou host Ergotelis in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 10. Form suggests where the edge lies here. AO Tympakiou have averaged 1.04 scored and 2.04 conceded recently, against Ergotelis's 0.69 scored and 0.97 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 1.56) point toward Ergotelis. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
AO Tympakiou
30%
Draws
12%
Ergotelis
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AO Tympakiou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • AO Tympakiou haven't matched Ergotelis's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 10 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
AO Tympakiou Clean Sheet 15%
Ergotelis Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AO Tympakiou Ergotelis
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 4 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 1.04 0.69
Goals Conceded 2.04 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AO Tympakiou 30 / 100
Ergotelis 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AO Tympakiou Ergotelis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AO Tympakiou Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AO Tympakiou's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ergotelis conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

AO Tympakiou went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ergotelis's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

AO Tympakiou VS Ergotelis
1 Goals Scored 0.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AO Tympakiou

(Home)
07 Oct
AO Tympakiou
1 : 1
Giouchtas
27 Sept
Agios Nikolaos
2 : 0
AO Tympakiou
27 Apr
AO Tympakiou
1 : 1
Rethymniakos
16 Apr
Giouchtas
1 : 3
AO Tympakiou
12 Apr
Karavas
3 : 0
AO Tympakiou
Page 1 of 6

Ergotelis

(Away)
07 Oct
Ergotelis
1 : 2
PAE Chania (Kissamikos)
27 Sept
Atsalenios FC
1 : 1
Ergotelis
28 Sept
Apollon Larissa
:
Ergotelis
01 May
Levadiakos
1 : 0
Ergotelis
27 Apr
Ergotelis
0 : 1
Irodotos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PAE Chania (Kissamikos) 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
2 Rethymniakos 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
3 Agios Nikolaos 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
4 Atsalenios FC 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Episkopi 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
6 Panakrotiriakos 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
7 Giouchtas 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
8 Ergotelis 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
9 Platanias FC 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
10 AO Tympakiou 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
11 AE Neapolis 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
12 Chersonissos 2 0 0 2 2:9 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 10 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 10 (Losers stage)