Sport Picks

Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2024/2025

Thiva F.C.

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

AO Tympakiou play Thiva F.C. in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, AO Tympakiou averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Thiva F.C. averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. In past meetings, AO Tympakiou won 0, Thiva F.C. won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 8, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for AO Tympakiou and 2.06 for Thiva F.C.. This points to a Thiva F.C. double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

AO Tympakiou

17%

Draws

51%

Thiva F.C.

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Thiva F.C.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

AO Tympakiou picked up more points recently compared to Thiva F.C..
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 2.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 76%

Over 2.5 Goals 56%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

AO Tympakiou Clean Sheet 10%

Thiva F.C. Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	AO Tympakiou	Thiva F.C.
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	4	6
Draws	5	5
Losses	21	19
Goals Scored	0.97	0.87
Goals Conceded	1.97	1.77
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.63	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4

AO Tympakiou vs Thiva F.C.

Possession: 46% - 52% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

Oct 20, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4

Thiva F.C. vs AO Tympakiou

Possession: 44% - 42% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AO Tympakiou 31 / 100

Thiva F.C. 48 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AO Tympakiou Thiva F.C.

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Thiva F.C. or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +33.4%

4.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12%

2.00

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

AO Tympakiou attacking → ← attacking Thiva F.C.

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AO Tympakiou scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Thiva F.C. let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

AO Tympakiou went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Thiva F.C. lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 23

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

2.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Marko	32	22	8	2	61:22	74
2	Ethnikos Piraeus	32	22	7	3	62:20	73
3	Nea Ionia	32	20	7	5	54:25	67
4	Chaidari	32	15	9	8	36:24	54
5	Aris Petroupolis	32	15	7	10	39:31	52
6	Atsalenios FC	32	14	6	12	43:43	48
7	Giouchtas	32	14	5	13	39:40	47
8	AO Ilisiakos	32	14	5	13	50:41	47
9	Asteras Kaisarianis	32	13	8	11	32:24	47
10	Kyanos Astir Varis	32	12	9	11	40:33	45
11	Thyella Diastavroseos	32	11	11	10	34:32	44
12	Agios Nikolaos	32	13	5	14	34:36	44
13	Karavas	32	7	6	19	27:58	27
14	Mandraikos	32	6	8	18	34:51	26
15	Thiva F.C.	32	7	5	20	27:55	26
16	AO Tympakiou	32	5	6	21	33:60	21
17	Rethymniakos	32	4	4	24	25:75	16