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Aoiz vs CD Ardoi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Mawuli E.
10' Event
Gimenez R.
Own Goal
45' Event
Armendariz I.

AI Match Summary

Aoiz in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aoiz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Aoiz
35%
Draws
23%
CD Ardoi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aoiz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: CD Ardoi at 1.47 per game, Aoiz at 1.17.
  • Win probability leans Aoiz's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Aoiz Clean Sheet 68%
CD Ardoi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aoiz CD Ardoi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 11 11
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.17 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Aoiz vs CD Ardoi
2:1
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Ardoi vs Aoiz
1:1
May 7, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Aoiz vs CD Ardoi
0:1
Dec 18, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Ardoi vs Aoiz
2:2
Apr 18, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Aoiz vs CD Ardoi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aoiz Compare

Top Goalscorer Itoiz A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

CD Ardoi Compare

Top Goalscorer Armendariz I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aoiz 95 / 100
CD Ardoi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aoiz CD Ardoi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aoiz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Ardoi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Aoiz has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Aoiz's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Aoiz VS CD Ardoi
1.13 Goals Scored 1.43
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Aoiz

(Home)
03 Oct
Valle Egues
0 : 1
Aoiz
26 Sept
Aoiz
1 : 1
Gazte Berriak
18 Sept
Huarte
0 : 0
Aoiz
11 Sept
Aoiz
2 : 0
Doneztebe FT
05 Sept
Pamplona
1 : 1
Aoiz
Page 1 of 6

CD Ardoi

(Away)
09 May
AD San Juan
3 : 1
CD Ardoi
03 May
CD Ardoi
2 : 2
CD Beti Onak
25 Apr
Ezcabarte
3 : 4
CD Ardoi
18 Apr
Aoiz
2 : 1
CD Ardoi
11 Apr
CD Ardoi
2 : 2
Beti Kozkor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 34 24 5 5 65:39 77
2 Pamplona 34 22 8 4 65:28 74
3 Izarra 34 16 13 5 64:31 61
4 Subiza 34 15 9 10 46:31 54
5 AD San Juan 34 12 16 6 43:28 52
6 Huarte 34 15 2 17 49:47 47
7 Beti Kozkor 34 12 10 12 50:43 46
8 Ezcabarte 34 12 9 13 47:49 45
9 Cortes 34 13 5 16 37:51 44
10 Cirbonero 34 11 10 13 38:42 43
11 Txantrea 34 12 7 15 52:67 43
12 Valle Egues 34 11 9 14 48:57 42
13 Bidezarra 34 10 9 15 34:40 39
14 Aoiz 34 9 9 16 41:49 36
15 CD Beti Onak 34 9 9 16 42:55 36
16 CD Ardoi 34 8 12 14 46:56 36
17 Oberena 34 7 10 17 32:61 31
18 CA Artajones 34 7 10 17 36:61 31
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 (Play Offs)