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Aoiz vs Ezcabarte - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aoiz host Ezcabarte in the Tercera RFEF - Group 15. Little to choose between these two on current form. Ezcabarte have shipped 1.41 goals a game lately, while Aoiz have conceded 1.31 and scored 1.03. Head-to-head, Aoiz have won 1 to Ezcabarte's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 1:3. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.31) point toward Ezcabarte. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Aoiz
35%
Draws
31%
Ezcabarte
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ezcabarte lately — more wins on the board than Aoiz.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Aoiz Clean Sheet 18%
Ezcabarte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aoiz Ezcabarte
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 11 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Ezcabarte vs Aoiz
1:3
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Aoiz vs Ezcabarte
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aoiz 36 / 100
Ezcabarte 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aoiz Ezcabarte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ezcabarte Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ezcabarte's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Aoiz has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Aoiz found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Aoiz VS Ezcabarte
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aoiz

(Home)
03 Oct
Valle Egues
0 : 1
Aoiz
26 Sept
Aoiz
1 : 1
Gazte Berriak
18 Sept
Huarte
0 : 0
Aoiz
11 Sept
Aoiz
2 : 0
Doneztebe FT
05 Sept
Pamplona
1 : 1
Aoiz
Page 1 of 6

Ezcabarte

(Away)
03 Oct
Ezcabarte
4 : 1
CD Cantolagua
26 Sept
Mutilvera
1 : 0
Ezcabarte
19 Sept
Ezcabarte
1 : 1
Subiza
12 Sept
CD Beti Onak
1 : 1
Ezcabarte
05 Sept
Ezcabarte
4 : 0
Txantrea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izarra 5 5 0 0 18:2 15
2 Mutilvera 5 3 2 0 7:1 11
3 Gazte Berriak 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
4 Beti Kozkor 5 3 1 1 5:4 10
5 Aoiz 5 2 3 0 5:2 9
6 Ezcabarte 5 2 2 1 10:4 8
7 Subiza 5 2 1 2 11:8 7
8 AD San Juan 5 2 1 2 9:7 7
9 Doneztebe FT 5 1 2 2 10:7 5
10 CD Beti Onak 5 0 5 0 5:5 5
11 Valle Egues 5 1 2 2 8:9 5
12 Txantrea 5 1 2 2 4:9 5
13 Huarte 5 0 4 1 4:5 4
14 Pamplona 5 0 4 1 2:3 4
15 Cortes 5 1 1 3 2:8 4
16 Bidezarra 5 0 3 2 3:9 3
17 CD Cantolagua 5 1 0 4 3:15 3
18 Cirbonero 5 0 2 3 1:11 2
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 (Play Offs)