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Aoiz vs Gazte Berriak - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 15
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Match Events

54' Event
Iribarren F.
80' Event
Olite X.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 game between Aoiz and Gazte Berriak finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Aoiz
35%
Draws
34%
Gazte Berriak
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aoiz come out ahead of Gazte Berriak on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Aoiz Clean Sheet 20%
Gazte Berriak Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aoiz Gazte Berriak
Matches Played 29 5
Wins 7 3
Draws 11 1
Losses 11 1
Goals Scored 1.03 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.90 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Aoiz vs Gazte Berriak
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aoiz Compare

Top Goalscorer Olite X.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.45

Gazte Berriak Compare

Top Goalscorer Iribarren F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aoiz 32 / 100
Gazte Berriak 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aoiz Gazte Berriak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aoiz has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Aoiz found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Gazte Berriak let in goals in 60% of their last 5 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Aoiz VS Gazte Berriak
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.67
75% Over 1.5 33%
63% Over 2.5 17%
38% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Aoiz

(Home)
03 Oct
Valle Egues
0 : 1
Aoiz
26 Sept
Aoiz
1 : 1
Gazte Berriak
18 Sept
Huarte
0 : 0
Aoiz
11 Sept
Aoiz
2 : 0
Doneztebe FT
05 Sept
Pamplona
1 : 1
Aoiz
Page 1 of 6

Gazte Berriak

(Away)
04 Oct
Gazte Berriak
1 : 0
Doneztebe FT
26 Sept
Aoiz
1 : 1
Gazte Berriak
19 Sept
Gazte Berriak
1 : 0
CD Cantolagua
12 Sept
Mutilvera
1 : 0
Gazte Berriak
05 Sept
Gazte Berriak
3 : 2
Subiza

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izarra 5 5 0 0 18:2 15
2 Beti Kozkor 6 4 1 1 8:4 13
3 Mutilvera 5 3 2 0 7:1 11
4 Gazte Berriak 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
5 Aoiz 5 2 3 0 5:2 9
6 Ezcabarte 5 2 2 1 10:4 8
7 Subiza 5 2 1 2 11:8 7
8 AD San Juan 5 2 1 2 9:7 7
9 Txantrea 6 1 3 2 4:9 6
10 Doneztebe FT 5 1 2 2 10:7 5
11 Valle Egues 5 1 2 2 8:9 5
12 CD Beti Onak 6 0 5 1 5:8 5
13 Cortes 6 1 2 3 2:8 5
14 Huarte 5 0 4 1 4:5 4
15 Pamplona 5 0 4 1 2:3 4
16 Bidezarra 5 0 3 2 3:9 3
17 CD Cantolagua 5 1 0 4 3:15 3
18 Cirbonero 5 0 2 3 1:11 2
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 (Play Offs)