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Aoiz vs Lagunak

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 15 2012/2013
Aoiz Logo

Aoiz

2 - 0
FT
Lagunak Logo

Lagunak

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aoiz in this Tercera Division - Group 15 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aoiz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Aoiz
35%
Draws
32%
Lagunak
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lagunak lately — more wins on the board than Aoiz.
  • Aoiz are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 15 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Aoiz have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Aoiz Clean Sheet 20%
Lagunak Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aoiz Lagunak
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 9 9
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.07 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Aoiz vs Lagunak
2:0
Dec 8, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Lagunak vs Aoiz
0:1
Feb 18, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Aoiz vs Lagunak
0:1
Sep 21, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Lagunak vs Aoiz
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aoiz 42 / 100
Lagunak 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aoiz Lagunak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aoiz scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Lagunak has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Aoiz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.25 goals.

Scoring Trends

Aoiz VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aoiz

(Home)
11 Sept
Aoiz
2 : 0
Doneztebe FT
05 Sept
Pamplona
1 : 1
Aoiz
09 May
Aoiz
1 : 4
Izarra
03 May
Ezcabarte
1 : 3
Aoiz
25 Apr
Bidezarra
0 : 0
Aoiz
Page 1 of 6

Lagunak

(Away)
11 May
Lagunak
2 : 0
Huarte
04 May
Subiza
3 : 1
Lagunak
01 May
Lagunak
1 : 0
Oberena
27 Apr
Pamplona
1 : 1
Lagunak
21 Apr
Lagunak
0 : 0
Burlades
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD San Juan 38 23 11 4 53:16 80
2 Mutilvera 38 23 9 6 78:28 78
3 Iruna 38 19 10 9 67:45 67
4 Cortes 38 19 9 10 50:41 66
5 Cirbonero 38 18 11 9 71:41 65
6 Txantrea 38 18 11 9 51:31 65
7 Huarte 38 16 10 12 58:49 58
8 Burlades 38 15 10 13 47:38 55
9 Oberena 38 17 4 17 52:51 55
10 Murchante 38 14 13 11 39:39 55
11 Valle Egues 38 14 7 17 52:51 49
12 Pamplona 38 13 9 16 45:48 48
13 Erriberri 38 12 10 16 43:52 46
14 Lagun Artea 38 12 9 17 34:48 45
15 Valtierrano 38 11 10 17 42:52 43
16 Idoya 38 10 11 17 34:55 41
17 Aoiz 38 10 9 19 42:63 39
18 Subiza 38 9 11 18 51:77 38
19 Pena Azagresa 38 6 12 20 39:70 30
20 Lagunak 38 3 10 25 20:73 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)