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Stadium Background

Aoiz vs Pena Azagresa

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 15 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aoiz in this Tercera Division - Group 15 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aoiz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Aoiz
35%
Draws
30%
Pena Azagresa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pena Azagresa lately — more wins on the board than Aoiz.
  • 35% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 15 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Aoiz Clean Sheet 19%
Pena Azagresa Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aoiz Pena Azagresa
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 11 5
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.03 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Aoiz vs Pena Azagresa
2:1
Sep 8, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena Azagresa vs Aoiz
1:1
Feb 13, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena Azagresa vs Aoiz
1:1
Oct 2, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Aoiz vs Pena Azagresa
1:1
Jan 31, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena Azagresa vs Aoiz
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aoiz 31 / 100
Pena Azagresa 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aoiz Pena Azagresa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aoiz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pena Azagresa conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Aoiz's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Aoiz stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aoiz VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aoiz

(Home)
26 Sept
Aoiz
1 : 1
Gazte Berriak
18 Sept
Huarte
0 : 0
Aoiz
11 Sept
Aoiz
2 : 0
Doneztebe FT
05 Sept
Pamplona
1 : 1
Aoiz
09 May
Aoiz
1 : 4
Izarra
Page 1 of 6

Pena Azagresa

(Away)
15 Aug
Pena Azagresa
0 : 1
Racing Rioja
06 Aug
Vianes
2 : 2
Pena Azagresa
25 Jun
Pena Azagresa
2 : 2
CD Beti Onak
19 Jun
CD Corellano
5 : 6
Pena Azagresa
13 Jun
Pena Azagresa
0 : 2
Txantrea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD San Juan 38 23 11 4 53:16 80
2 Mutilvera 38 23 9 6 78:28 78
3 Iruna 38 19 10 9 67:45 67
4 Cortes 38 19 9 10 50:41 66
5 Cirbonero 38 18 11 9 71:41 65
6 Txantrea 38 18 11 9 51:31 65
7 Huarte 38 16 10 12 58:49 58
8 Burlades 38 15 10 13 47:38 55
9 Oberena 38 17 4 17 52:51 55
10 Murchante 38 14 13 11 39:39 55
11 Valle Egues 38 14 7 17 52:51 49
12 Pamplona 38 13 9 16 45:48 48
13 Erriberri 38 12 10 16 43:52 46
14 Lagun Artea 38 12 9 17 34:48 45
15 Valtierrano 38 11 10 17 42:52 43
16 Idoya 38 10 11 17 34:55 41
17 Aoiz 38 10 9 19 42:63 39
18 Subiza 38 9 11 18 51:77 38
19 Pena Azagresa 38 6 12 20 39:70 30
20 Lagunak 38 3 10 25 20:73 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)