Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Apafut U20 vs Novo Hamburgo U20

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho U20 game between Apafut U20 and Novo Hamburgo U20 finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Novo Hamburgo U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Apafut U20
33%
Draws
40%
Novo Hamburgo U20
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Novo Hamburgo U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Novo Hamburgo U20 come out ahead of Apafut U20 on wins alone.
  • Novo Hamburgo U20 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Apafut U20 Clean Sheet 12%
Novo Hamburgo U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apafut U20 Novo Hamburgo U20
Matches Played 22 22
Wins 5 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.38 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Gaucho U20
Apafut U20 vs Novo Hamburgo U20
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apafut U20 27 / 100
Novo Hamburgo U20 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apafut U20 Novo Hamburgo U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Apafut U20 scored in 73% of their last 22 games.

Novo Hamburgo U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 22 matches.

Apafut U20 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Apafut U20 VS Novo Hamburgo U20
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Apafut U20

(Home)
24 May
SC Gaucho U20
1 : 1
Apafut U20
03 May
Apafut U20
1 : 2
Esportivo Bento Goncalves U20
12 Apr
SER Caxias do Sul U20
2 : 1
Apafut U20
05 Apr
Apafut U20
1 : 4
Novo Hamburgo U20
27 Mar
Internacional U20
5 : 0
Apafut U20
Page 1 of 5

Novo Hamburgo U20

(Away)
05 Jun
Gremio U20
0 : 0
Novo Hamburgo U20
31 May
Novo Hamburgo U20
0 : 1
Gremio U20
24 May
Internacional U20
5 : 0
Novo Hamburgo U20
03 May
Novo Hamburgo U20
2 : 2
Ypiranga FC U20
18 Apr
SC Gaucho U20
1 : 1
Novo Hamburgo U20
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Internacional U20650116:315
2Ypiranga FC U20632112:611
3Novo Hamburgo U20632110:911
4SER Caxias do Sul U2062138:87
5Esportivo Bento Goncalves U2061235:125
6SC Gaucho U2060425:94
7Apafut U2061145:144
Promotion - Gaucho U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1EC Juventude U20751114:516
2Gremio U20743015:515
3EC Sao Jose (PA) U20731311:810
4Sao Luiz U2073136:810
5SC Ivoti U2073045:79
6Brasil de Farroupilha U2072144:87
7Real SC U2072148:147
8Inter Santa Maria U2071246:145
Promotion - Gaucho U20 (Play Offs)