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Apafut vs EC Novo Horizonte

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 3 2025
Apafut Logo

Apafut

Wed, Nov 5, 2025
3 - 0
06:00 PM
EC Novo Horizonte Logo

EC Novo Horizonte

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Apafut host EC Novo Horizonte in the Gaucho 3 2025. This has Apafut written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Apafut at 1.41 goals for, 1.1 against; EC Novo Horizonte at 0.33 for, 2.67 against. Past meetings favor Apafut slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 5, 2025, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 0.63, favoring Apafut. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Apafut
20%
Draws
22%
EC Novo Horizonte
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Apafut

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • EC Novo Horizonte haven't matched Apafut's recent run of results.
  • Apafut are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Apafut Clean Sheet 20%
EC Novo Horizonte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apafut EC Novo Horizonte
Matches Played 29 12
Wins 11 1
Draws 10 2
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.41 0.33
Goals Conceded 1.1 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2025 Gaucho 3
Apafut vs EC Novo Horizonte
3:0
Oct 12, 2025 Gaucho 3
EC Novo Horizonte vs Apafut
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apafut 85 / 100
EC Novo Horizonte 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apafut EC Novo Horizonte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Apafut Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Novo Horizonte let in goals in 92% of their last 12 matches.

Apafut scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Apafut went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Apafut VS EC Novo Horizonte
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Apafut

(Home)
27 Sept
Apafut
2 : 1
Lajeadense
23 Sept
Santa Cruz RS
2 : 2
Apafut
19 Sept
Apafut
1 : 1
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
16 Sept
Apafut
2 : 1
Pelotas
13 Sept
Brasil de Farroupilha
1 : 0
Apafut
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EC Novo Horizonte

(Away)
30 Sept
EC Novo Horizonte
0 : 2
Clube 1992
19 Sept
SC Rio Grande
1 : 2
EC Novo Horizonte
13 Sept
EC Novo Horizonte
1 : 3
Panambi
05 Sept
Riograndense
3 : 0
EC Novo Horizonte
16 Nov
EC Novo Horizonte
0 : 3
EC Guarani
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC Guarani 8 8 0 0 25:3 24
2 Apafut 8 4 2 2 18:10 16
3 Clube 1992 8 1 4 3 8:14 9
4 Nova Prata 8 2 2 4 10:12 8
5 EC Novo Horizonte 8 0 2 6 1:23 0
Promotion - Gaucho 3 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Sao Paulo 6 5 1 0 11:1 16
2 SC Rio Grande 6 3 0 3 6:6 9
3 Riograndense 6 2 2 2 11:3 8
4 Sao Gabriel 6 0 1 5 2:20 1
Promotion - Gaucho 3 2025 (Play Offs)