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Apafut vs Real SC

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 3 2024
Apafut Logo

Apafut

0 - 1
FT
Real SC Logo

Real SC

Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Renatinho
76'
Guilherme Farias
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 3 2024 game between Apafut and Real SC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Apafut
35%
Draws
13%
Real SC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Apafut

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Apafut come out ahead of Real SC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Apafut's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Apafut Clean Sheet 20%
Real SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apafut Real SC
Matches Played 24 24
Wins 7 5
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.29 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2024 Gaucho 3
Apafut vs Real SC
0:1
Oct 2, 2024 Gaucho 3
Real SC vs Apafut
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Apafut Compare

Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Real SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Renatinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apafut 85 / 100
Real SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apafut Real SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Apafut Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Apafut scored in 71% of their last 24 games.

Real SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 24 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Apafut went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Apafut VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Apafut

(Home)
19 Aug
Apafut
1 : 2
Veranopolis
15 Aug
GE Gloria
1 : 1
Apafut
12 Aug
GE Bage
0 : 3
Apafut
09 Aug
Apafut
1 : 0
SC Gaucho
05 Aug
Apafut
1 : 1
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
Page 1 of 5

Real SC

(Away)
27 Jul
Lajeadense
0 : 0
Real SC
23 Jul
Real SC
0 : 3
Novo Hamburgo
19 Jul
Real SC
1 : 3
Passo Fundo
16 Jul
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
1 : 1
Real SC
05 Jul
Real SC
0 : 1
Gramadense
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gramadense 6 3 2 1 11:8 11
2 Real SC 6 2 3 1 7:5 9
3 EC Guarani 6 2 3 1 6:4 9
4 Apafut 6 0 2 4 3:10 2
Promotion - Gaucho 3 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Riograndense 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 SC Sao Paulo 6 2 1 3 8:9 7
3 SC Rio Grande 6 1 1 4 5:10 4
4 Farroupilha 6 3 2 1 6:4 3
Promotion - Gaucho 3 2024 (Play Offs)