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Stadium Background

Leones vs Real Cundinamarca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui, Itagui
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Rodriguez J.
46'
Sub
Montoya J. In: Moreno D.
Out: Montoya J.
46'
Sub
Hincapie Ossa J. F. In: Martinez J.
Out: Hincapie Ossa J. F.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Leones and Real Cundinamarca finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
Leones
20%
Draws
69%
Real Cundinamarca
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Cundinamarca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Leones haven't matched Real Cundinamarca's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Real Cundinamarca's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Leones Clean Sheet 10%
Real Cundinamarca Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leones Real Cundinamarca
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 11
Draws 9 10
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 0.71 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Primera B
Leones vs Real Cundinamarca
1:1
Feb 8, 2026 Primera B
Real Cundinamarca vs Leones
2:0
Aug 30, 2025 Primera B
Real Cundinamarca vs Leones
3:0
Mar 25, 2025 Primera B
Leones vs Real Cundinamarca
3:1
Oct 16, 2024 Primera B
Leones vs Real Cundinamarca
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leones Compare

Top Goalscorer Montoya S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Real Cundinamarca Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leones 18 / 100
Real Cundinamarca 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leones Real Cundinamarca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Cundinamarca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leones found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Real Cundinamarca conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Leones stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leones VS Real Cundinamarca
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Leones

(Home)
07 Oct
Leones
1 : 1
Barranquilla
28 Sept
Inter Palmira
1 : 0
Leones
19 Sept
Leones
1 : 2
Boca Juniors de Cali
12 Sept
Envigado
1 : 1
Leones
04 Sept
Leones
0 : 3
Atletico F.C.
Page 1 of 6

Real Cundinamarca

(Away)
02 Oct
Atletico F.C.
1 : 2
Real Cundinamarca
27 Sept
Barranquilla
0 : 1
Real Cundinamarca
21 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
3 : 1
Quindio
12 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
2 : 1
Union Magdalena
09 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
1 : 2
Inter Bogotá
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Valle del Cauca 12 7 3 2 16:7 24
2 Real Cundinamarca 11 7 2 2 19:10 23
3 Tigres Futbol Club 12 6 4 2 14:5 22
4 Boca Juniors de Cali 11 5 3 3 18:14 18
5 Patriotas 11 5 2 4 17:17 17
6 Cartagena 12 4 4 4 21:16 16
7 Quindio 11 4 4 3 9:8 16
8 Atletico F.C. 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
9 Inter Palmira 11 4 2 5 8:12 14
10 Envigado 11 2 6 3 12:11 12
11 Union Magdalena 11 3 3 5 10:12 12
12 Bogota 11 3 3 5 9:13 12
13 Real Santander 11 2 6 3 13:18 12
14 Orsomarso 11 2 4 5 7:11 10
15 Leones 11 2 4 5 8:17 10
16 Barranquilla 11 2 3 6 11:17 9
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)