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Apafut vs Veranopolis

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Matheus Guimaraes
45' Event
Para
79' Event
Marcelo Machado

AI Match Summary

Veranopolis in this Gaucho 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Veranopolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Apafut
35%
Draws
38%
Veranopolis
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Veranopolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Veranopolis have won more games recently than Apafut.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Apafut Clean Sheet 24%
Veranopolis Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apafut Veranopolis
Matches Played 24 27
Wins 7 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.29 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Gaucho 2
Apafut vs Veranopolis
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Apafut Compare

Top Goalscorer Para
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Veranopolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Guimaraes
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marcelo Machado
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apafut 33 / 100
Veranopolis 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apafut Veranopolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Veranopolis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Apafut scored in 71% of their last 24 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Apafut has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Veranopolis has conceded goals in 48% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Apafut VS Veranopolis
1 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.13
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Apafut

(Home)
19 Aug
Apafut
1 : 2
Veranopolis
15 Aug
GE Gloria
1 : 1
Apafut
12 Aug
GE Bage
0 : 3
Apafut
09 Aug
Apafut
1 : 0
SC Gaucho
05 Aug
Apafut
1 : 1
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
Page 1 of 5

Veranopolis

(Away)
19 Aug
Apafut
1 : 2
Veranopolis
16 Aug
Veranopolis
2 : 0
Pelotas
12 Aug
Veranopolis
3 : 0
Aimore
09 Aug
EC Guarani
0 : 0
Veranopolis
05 Aug
Veranopolis
0 : 0
Brasil de Farroupilha
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Passo Fundo 7 4 3 0 10:3 15
2 Veranopolis 7 4 2 1 8:4 14
3 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 7 3 4 0 7:3 13
4 Santa Cruz RS 7 3 3 1 7:4 12
5 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 7 3 2 2 7:4 11
6 Aimore 7 3 2 2 5:6 11
7 Apafut 7 2 3 2 7:5 9
8 Brasil de Pelotas 6 2 3 1 6:4 9
9 Pelotas 6 2 2 2 6:8 8
10 SC Gaucho 7 2 1 4 6:6 7
11 Brasil de Farroupilha 6 1 4 1 7:6 7
12 EC Guarani 6 1 3 2 6:9 6
13 Gramadense 7 1 3 3 4:7 6
14 GE Bage 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
15 GE Gloria 6 0 3 3 2:5 3
16 Lajeadense 7 0 2 5 2:11 2
Promotion - Gaucho 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2027 (Main)