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Aparecida EC vs Cerrado EC

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Goiano 3 2024
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Goiano 3 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Aparecida EC
30%
Draws
47%
Cerrado EC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cerrado EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Cerrado EC haven't matched Aparecida EC's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Goiano 3 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Aparecida EC Clean Sheet 20%
Cerrado EC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aparecida EC Cerrado EC
Matches Played 34 20
Wins 11 4
Draws 8 6
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.15 0.85
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2024 Goiano 3
Aparecida EC vs Cerrado EC
0:0
Aug 20, 2024 Goiano 3
Cerrado EC vs Aparecida EC
1:2
Oct 22, 2022 Goiano 2
Cerrado EC vs Aparecida EC
1:2
Aug 17, 2022 Goiano 2
Aparecida EC vs Cerrado EC
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aparecida EC 32 / 100
Cerrado EC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aparecida EC Cerrado EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aparecida EC's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Defensive concern: Cerrado EC conceded in 70% of 20 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Aparecida EC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aparecida EC VS Cerrado EC
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aparecida EC

(Home)
15 Nov
Aparecida EC
1 : 2
Guanabara City
10 Nov
Rioverdense
1 : 3
Aparecida EC
01 Nov
Aparecida EC
1 : 2
Mineiros
26 Oct
Associacao Esportiva Evangelica (ASEEV)
1 : 0
Aparecida EC
18 Oct
Aparecida EC
0 : 0
Pires do Rio
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Cerrado EC

(Away)
21 Sept
Aparecida EC
0 : 0
Cerrado EC
14 Sept
Cerrado EC
0 : 3
Itumbiara
07 Sept
Rioverdense
1 : 2
Cerrado EC
31 Aug
Cerrado EC
3 : 0
Rioverdense
24 Aug
Itumbiara
2 : 2
Cerrado EC
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uruacu 6 4 1 1 16:11 13
2 Tupy FC 6 4 0 2 15:7 12
3 Rio Verde 6 3 1 2 19:7 10
4 Pires do Rio 6 0 0 6 5:30 0
Promotion - Goiano 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mineiros 8 4 3 1 14:6 15
2 Guanabara City 8 4 2 2 9:5 14
3 Bela Vista FC 8 3 5 0 13:7 14
4 Itaberai 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
5 America GO 8 0 4 4 6:15 4
Promotion - Goiano 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aparecida EC 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
2 Itumbiara 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
3 Cerrado EC 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
4 Rioverdense 6 0 2 4 3:9 2
Promotion - Goiano 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams