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Aparecida EC vs Jaragua

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Goiano 2 2019
Aparecida EC Logo

Aparecida EC

1 - 2
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Jaragua Logo

Jaragua

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Goiano 2 2019 game between Aparecida EC and Jaragua finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jaragua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Aparecida EC
20%
Draws
16%
Jaragua
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aparecida EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Jaragua haven't matched Aparecida EC's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Aparecida EC taking it.
  • Regular Goiano 2 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Aparecida EC Clean Sheet 20%
Jaragua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aparecida EC Jaragua
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 9 6
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 1.17 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2023 Goiano 2
Jaragua vs Aparecida EC
1:1
Sep 3, 2023 Goiano 2
Aparecida EC vs Jaragua
1:0
Sep 24, 2022 Goiano 2
Jaragua vs Aparecida EC
2:1
Sep 7, 2022 Goiano 2
Aparecida EC vs Jaragua
1:0
Oct 9, 2019 Goiano 2
Aparecida EC vs Jaragua
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aparecida EC 76 / 100
Jaragua 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aparecida EC Jaragua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aparecida EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaragua let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Aparecida EC scored in 72% of their last 36 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Away concern: Jaragua has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aparecida EC VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aparecida EC

(Home)
15 Nov
Aparecida EC
1 : 2
Guanabara City
10 Nov
Rioverdense
1 : 3
Aparecida EC
01 Nov
Aparecida EC
1 : 2
Mineiros
26 Oct
Associacao Esportiva Evangelica (ASEEV)
1 : 0
Aparecida EC
18 Oct
Aparecida EC
0 : 0
Pires do Rio
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Jaragua

(Away)
21 Oct
Goiatuba EC
4 : 2
Jaragua
15 Oct
Jaragua
3 : 4
Anapolina
07 Oct
Jaragua
1 : 1
Santa Helena
04 Oct
Centro Oeste
4 : 0
Jaragua
30 Sept
Associacao Esportiva Evangelica (ASEEV)
2 : 1
Jaragua
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jaragua 11 6 2 3 15:8 20
2 Anapolis 11 5 4 2 19:12 19
3 Rio Verde 11 5 2 4 22:16 17
4 Morrinhos 11 5 2 4 15:14 17
5 Jataiense 11 3 4 4 13:21 13
6 Aparecida EC 11 3 3 5 15:16 12
7 Trindade 11 3 2 6 11:16 11
8 America GO 11 2 5 4 7:14 11
Promotion - Campeonato Goiano 2020 (Main)