Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aparecida vs CD Gouveia

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Teixeira D.
47' Event
Teixeira D.
61' Event
Sarpong E.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 game between Aparecida and CD Gouveia finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aparecida.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Aparecida
15%
Draws
28%
CD Gouveia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aparecida

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Gouveia haven't matched Aparecida's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Aparecida a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Aparecida Clean Sheet 15%
CD Gouveia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aparecida CD Gouveia
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 9 2
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 24
Goals Scored 1.37 0.8
Goals Conceded 2 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Aparecida vs CD Gouveia
3:0
Aug 24, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
CD Gouveia vs Aparecida
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aparecida Compare

Top Goalscorer Teixeira D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sarpong E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

CD Gouveia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aparecida 39 / 100
CD Gouveia 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aparecida CD Gouveia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aparecida Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Gouveia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

Aparecida found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

CD Gouveia lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aparecida VS CD Gouveia
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aparecida

(Home)
18 Apr
Cinfaes
5 : 2
Aparecida
12 Apr
Aparecida
4 : 1
Florgrade
04 Apr
Leca
5 : 1
Aparecida
22 Mar
Aparecida
3 : 1
SC Vila Real
15 Mar
Rebordosa
3 : 1
Aparecida
Page 1 of 6

CD Gouveia

(Away)
18 Apr
CD Gouveia
1 : 2
Beira Mar
12 Apr
Anadia
2 : 1
CD Gouveia
04 Apr
CD Gouveia
3 : 2
Vila Mea
22 Mar
CD Gouveia
0 : 2
Uniao Lamas
15 Mar
FC Alpendorada
1 : 0
CD Gouveia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rebordosa 26 17 7 2 41:17 58
2 Leca 26 14 9 3 50:23 51
3 Cinfaes 26 10 10 6 33:21 40
4 Beira Mar 26 10 8 8 30:22 38
5 FC Alpendorada 26 9 11 6 30:22 38
6 Florgrade 26 9 10 7 28:28 37
7 Vila Mea 26 7 13 6 29:28 34
8 Uniao Lamas 26 9 6 11 27:33 33
9 SC Salgueiros 26 7 11 8 20:19 32
10 Anadia 26 7 9 10 27:33 30
11 Aparecida 26 9 4 13 36:51 28
12 GD Resende 26 6 10 10 27:31 28
13 SC Vila Real 26 5 12 9 23:30 27
14 CD Gouveia 26 1 4 21 14:57 7
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)