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Aparecida vs Rebordosa

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Sousa C.
(Penalty)
64' Event
Djadjo D.
70'
Sarpong E.

AI Match Summary

Rebordosa in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rebordosa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Aparecida
15%
Draws
34%
Rebordosa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aparecida

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rebordosa lately — more wins on the board than Aparecida.
  • Win probability leans Aparecida's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Aparecida Clean Sheet 10%
Rebordosa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aparecida Rebordosa
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 4 8
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.37 1.23
Goals Conceded 2 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Rebordosa vs Aparecida
3:1
Nov 9, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Aparecida vs Rebordosa
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aparecida Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

Rebordosa Compare

Top Goalscorer Djadjo D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barros F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aparecida 40 / 100
Rebordosa 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aparecida Rebordosa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Aparecida scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Rebordosa has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Rebordosa lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aparecida VS Rebordosa
2.2 Goals Scored 1
3 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aparecida

(Home)
18 Apr
Cinfaes
5 : 2
Aparecida
12 Apr
Aparecida
4 : 1
Florgrade
04 Apr
Leca
5 : 1
Aparecida
22 Mar
Aparecida
3 : 1
SC Vila Real
15 Mar
Rebordosa
3 : 1
Aparecida
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Rebordosa

(Away)
27 Sept
AD Limianos
1 : 1
Rebordosa
06 Sept
Rebordosa
1 : 0
Vila Mea
30 Aug
Rebordosa
2 : 3
FC Alpendorada
23 Aug
Chaves B
1 : 0
Rebordosa
16 Aug
Rebordosa
0 : 1
Tirsense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rebordosa 26 17 7 2 41:17 58
2 Leca 26 14 9 3 50:23 51
3 Cinfaes 26 10 10 6 33:21 40
4 Beira Mar 26 10 8 8 30:22 38
5 FC Alpendorada 26 9 11 6 30:22 38
6 Florgrade 26 9 10 7 28:28 37
7 Vila Mea 26 7 13 6 29:28 34
8 Uniao Lamas 26 9 6 11 27:33 33
9 SC Salgueiros 26 7 11 8 20:19 32
10 Anadia 26 7 9 10 27:33 30
11 Aparecida 26 9 4 13 36:51 28
12 GD Resende 26 6 10 10 27:31 28
13 SC Vila Real 26 5 12 9 23:30 27
14 CD Gouveia 26 1 4 21 14:57 7
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)