Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 game between Aparecida and SC Vila Real finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aparecida.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Aparecida carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Aparecida a 60% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aparecida | SC Vila Real |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 12 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aparecida Compare
SC Vila Real Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.
Aparecida's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Defensive concern: SC Vila Real conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
SC Vila Real lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Aparecida
(Home)SC Vila Real
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rebordosa | 26 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 41:17 | 58 |
| 2 | Leca | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 50:23 | 51 |
| 3 | Cinfaes | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 33:21 | 40 |
| 4 | Beira Mar | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 30:22 | 38 |
| 5 | FC Alpendorada | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 30:22 | 38 |
| 6 | Florgrade | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 28:28 | 37 |
| 7 | Vila Mea | 26 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 29:28 | 34 |
| 8 | Uniao Lamas | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 27:33 | 33 |
| 9 | SC Salgueiros | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 20:19 | 32 |
| 10 | Anadia | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 27:33 | 30 |
| 11 | Aparecida | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 36:51 | 28 |
| 12 | GD Resende | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 27:31 | 28 |
| 13 | SC Vila Real | 26 | 5 | 12 | 9 | 23:30 | 27 |
| 14 | CD Gouveia | 26 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 14:57 | 7 |