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Aparecidense vs ABECAT Ouvidorense Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Goiano Estádio Annibal Batista de Toledo, Aparecida de Goiânia
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Marcao
27'
Thiaguinho
33' Event
Rafael Dumas

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Goiano matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Aparecidense
35%
Draws
50%
ABECAT Ouvidorense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ABECAT Ouvidorense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Aparecidense average 1.6 goals a game right now, well clear of ABECAT Ouvidorense's 1.2.
  • Model gives ABECAT Ouvidorense a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Goiano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Aparecidense Clean Sheet 24%
ABECAT Ouvidorense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aparecidense ABECAT Ouvidorense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 10 9
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.6 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Goiano
Aparecidense vs ABECAT Ouvidorense
3:3
Jan 19, 2025 Goiano
Aparecidense vs ABECAT Ouvidorense
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aparecidense Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcao
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jefferson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

ABECAT Ouvidorense Compare

Top Goalscorer Rafael Dumas
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alan Junior
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aparecidense 17 / 100
ABECAT Ouvidorense 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aparecidense ABECAT Ouvidorense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ABECAT Ouvidorense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Aparecidense scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

ABECAT Ouvidorense has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Aparecidense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aparecidense VS ABECAT Ouvidorense
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aparecidense

(Home)
27 Jun
Capital
4 : 0
Aparecidense
20 Jun
Aparecidense
1 : 1
Capital
07 Jun
Gama
2 : 2
Aparecidense
30 May
Aparecidense
1 : 1
Primavera AC
24 May
Luverdense
1 : 0
Aparecidense
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ABECAT Ouvidorense

(Away)
14 Jun
Uberlandia
0 : 1
ABECAT Ouvidorense
30 May
ABECAT Ouvidorense
2 : 1
Betim FC
23 May
ABECAT Ouvidorense
2 : 0
Operario MS
17 May
CRAC
2 : 1
ABECAT Ouvidorense
10 May
Ivinhema
0 : 0
ABECAT Ouvidorense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Goias 8 6 2 0 14:1 20
2 Vila Nova FC 8 6 0 2 18:8 18
3 Jataiense 8 4 2 2 13:9 14
4 Atletico GO 8 4 2 2 11:8 14
5 ABECAT Ouvidorense 8 4 2 2 11:8 14
6 Anapolina 8 4 0 4 10:12 12
7 Anapolis 8 3 2 3 11:12 11
8 CRAC 8 2 3 3 5:6 9
9 Goiatuba EC 8 2 1 5 8:15 7
10 Aparecidense 8 1 3 4 10:14 6
11 Centro Oeste 8 1 3 4 4:15 6
12 Inhumas 8 0 2 6 4:11 2
Promotion - Goiano (Play Offs)
Relegation - Goiano (Relegation)
Relegation - Goiano (Relegation)