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Apassit W vs TPV W

Finland Finland

Suomen Cup Women
Thu, May 28, 2026
1 - 2
04:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Salomaki E.
88' Event
Teravainen R.
1' Event
Koulik A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Apassit W
25%
Draws
35%
TPV W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Apassit W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to TPV W lately — more wins on the board than Apassit W.
  • Win probability leans Apassit W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • TPV W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor TPV W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Apassit W Clean Sheet 10%
TPV W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apassit W TPV W
Matches Played 2 30
Wins 0 4
Draws 0 3
Losses 2 23
Goals Scored 0.5 0.73
Goals Conceded 5 3.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 Suomen Cup Women
Apassit W vs TPV W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Apassit W Compare

Top Goalscorer Salomaki E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

TPV W Compare

Top Goalscorer Teravainen R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apassit W 83 / 100
TPV W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apassit W TPV W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Apassit W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TPV W has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: TPV W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Apassit W's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 2 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Apassit W VS TPV W
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
5 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Apassit W

(Home)
28 May
Apassit W
1 : 2
TPV W
19 Jun
Apassit W
0 : 8
Aland United W

TPV W

(Away)
17 Jun
TPV W
0 : 4
HPS W
28 May
Apassit W
1 : 2
TPV W
11 Jun
TPV W
0 : 4
Ilves W
20 Oct
Hertta W
4 : 0
TPV W
13 Oct
TPV W
0 : 9
VIFK Vaasa W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Aland United W 4
Tampere Utd W 0
Ilves W -
TBD -
Gnistan W 1
HIFK W 0
KuPS W -
TBD -
VPS W 3
FC PaRi Palokka W 2
NuPS W 0
PK-35 Vantaa W 8
HJK U18 W 4
Kiffen W 0
TBD -
HJK W -
EPS W 3
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) W 2
Lahti W 1
EBK W 2
Loviisa W 1
Keski-Uusimaa W 0
KTP W 0
Honka W 1
Apassit W 1
TPV W 2
TBD -
HPS W -
Athene FC W 3
Hertta W 2
WFA W 0
SJK-j Apollo W 1
1/8-finals
Aland United W 2
Ilves W 1
Gnistan W 0
KuPS W 2
VPS W 4
PK-35 Vantaa W 6
HJK U18 W 1
HJK W 6
EPS W 1
EBK W 4
Loviisa W 0
Honka W 8
TPV W 0
HPS W 4
Athene FC W 0
SJK-j Apollo W 3
Quarter-finals
Aland United W 1
KuPS W 2
PK-35 Vantaa W 1
HJK W 4
EBK W 4
Honka W 1
HPS W 5
SJK-j Apollo W 1
Semi-finals
KuPS W 0
HJK W 1
EBK W 0
HPS W 4
Final
HJK W 3
HPS W 1