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Apeldoorn vs Dordrecht - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie 2012/2013
Fri, Mar 8, 2013
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Apeldoorn host Dordrecht in the Eerste Divisie 2012/2013. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Apeldoorn have averaged 1.5 scored and 2 conceded recently, against Dordrecht's 1.42 scored and 1.9 conceded. Past meetings favor Dordrecht slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2013, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.54 xG vs 1.49) point toward Dordrecht. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Apeldoorn
20%
Draws
29%
Dordrecht
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Apeldoorn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Dordrecht carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Apeldoorn a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Apeldoorn Clean Sheet 16%
Dordrecht Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apeldoorn Dordrecht
Matches Played 14 31
Wins 3 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.42
Goals Conceded 2 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2013 Eerste Divisie
Apeldoorn vs Dordrecht
0:0
Dec 3, 2012 Eerste Divisie
Dordrecht vs Apeldoorn
2:0
Apr 6, 2012 Eerste Divisie
Dordrecht vs Apeldoorn
4:0
Dec 9, 2011 Eerste Divisie
Apeldoorn vs Dordrecht
2:3
Jul 12, 2011 Club Friendly
Dordrecht vs Apeldoorn
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apeldoorn 41 / 100
Dordrecht 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apeldoorn Dordrecht

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dordrecht's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Apeldoorn stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Dordrecht has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dordrecht
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Apeldoorn

(Home)
11 Jul
Apeldoorn
1 : 7
AZ Alkmaar
05 Jan
Feyenoord
0 : 0
Apeldoorn
21 Dec
Apeldoorn
0 : 2
Sittard
17 Dec
Apeldoorn
4 : 0
Almere City
14 Dec
Eindhoven FC
1 : 6
Apeldoorn
Page 1 of 3

Dordrecht

(Away)
03 Oct
Den Bosch
1 : 1
Dordrecht
25 Sept
Dordrecht
3 : 2
Almere City
18 Sept
TOP Oss
3 : 0
Dordrecht
11 Sept
Eindhoven FC
2 : 1
Dordrecht
05 Sept
Dordrecht
3 : 6
Jong AZ Alkmaar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cambuur 30 19 4 7 59:33 61
2 FC Volendam 30 19 3 8 70:43 60
3 Sparta Rotterdam 30 16 7 7 59:36 55
4 Helmond Sport 30 15 10 5 55:45 55
5 Maastricht 30 14 8 8 56:44 50
6 G.A. Eagles 30 13 9 8 60:46 48
7 Sittard 30 13 7 10 39:33 46
8 De Graafschap 30 12 9 9 57:41 45
9 Dordrecht 30 11 7 12 56:56 40
10 TOP Oss 30 10 7 13 40:57 37
11 Den Bosch 30 10 5 15 38:49 35
12 FC Emmen 30 8 8 14 38:52 32
13 Almere City 30 10 1 19 41:67 31
14 Telstar 30 7 8 15 31:46 29
15 Excelsior 30 4 9 17 39:63 21
16 Eindhoven FC 30 5 6 19 40:67 21
17 Apeldoorn 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 Veendam 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Eredivisie 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)