Sport Picks
APIA Leichhardt vs Blacktown City
Australia
NPL NSW Lambert Park, Sydney 
Match Events
4'
4'
Caspers E.
11'
11'
Jez M.
17'
17'
Ortiz P.
AI Match Summary
The NPL NSW game between APIA Leichhardt and Blacktown City finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward APIA Leichhardt.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: APIA Leichhardt
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ Medium Confidence
- APIA Leichhardt carry the better recent record into this one.
- APIA Leichhardt are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors APIA Leichhardt here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
APIA Leichhardt Clean Sheet 20%
Blacktown City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | APIA Leichhardt | Blacktown City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 22 | 8 |
| Draws | 3 | 8 |
| Losses | 4 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 21, 2026 NPL NSW
Blacktown City vs APIA Leichhardt
1:3
Mar 7, 2026 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs Blacktown City
3:2
Jun 15, 2025 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs Blacktown City
1:0
Mar 2, 2025 NPL NSW
Blacktown City vs APIA Leichhardt
4:3
May 25, 2024 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs Blacktown City
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
APIA Leichhardt Compare
Top Goalscorer Caspers E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ortiz P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Blacktown City Compare
Top Goalscorer Jez M.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
APIA Leichhardt 42 / 100
Blacktown City 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
APIA Leichhardt Blacktown City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: APIA Leichhardt scored in 97% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.
Blacktown City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
Recent resilience: APIA Leichhardt stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
APIA Leichhardt VS Blacktown City
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
APIA Leichhardt
(Home) 18 Jul
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
3 : 5 APIA Leichhardt
14 Jul
APIA Leichhardt
2 : 1 Peninsula
11 Jul
APIA Leichhardt
2 : 1 Sydney FC U23
04 Jul
Sutherland Sharks
3 : 2 APIA Leichhardt
28 Jun
APIA Leichhardt
0 : 2 Rockdale Ilinden
Page 1 of 6
14 Jul
APIA Leichhardt
2 : 1 Peninsula
11 Jul
APIA Leichhardt
2 : 1 Sydney FC U23
28 Jun
APIA Leichhardt
0 : 2 Rockdale Ilinden
06 Jun
APIA Leichhardt
2 : 0 Manly Utd
24 May
APIA Leichhardt
1 : 1 Marconi Stallions
Page 1 of 3
Blacktown City
(Away) 19 Jul
Blacktown City
3 : 0 St. George City
11 Jul
SD Raiders
1 : 3 Blacktown City
05 Jul
Blacktown City
0 : 0 Sydney Utd
28 Jun
Marconi Stallions
2 : 0 Blacktown City
21 Jun
Blacktown City
1 : 3 APIA Leichhardt
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
SD Raiders
1 : 3 Blacktown City
28 Jun
Marconi Stallions
2 : 0 Blacktown City
13 Jun
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2 Blacktown City
30 May
Manly Utd
0 : 0 Blacktown City
16 May
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
3 : 3 Blacktown City
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marconi Stallions | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 45:15 | 55 |
| 2 | APIA Leichhardt | 24 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 52:30 | 54 |
| 3 | Sydney Utd | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 35:17 | 51 |
| 4 | Rockdale Ilinden | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 42:33 | 39 |
| 5 | Sutherland Sharks | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 37:31 | 36 |
| 6 | Sydney FC U23 | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 32:34 | 35 |
| 7 | Manly Utd | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 29:29 | 34 |
| 8 | Wollongong | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 28:32 | 32 |
| 9 | UNSW | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 35:36 | 31 |
| 10 | NWS Spirit | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28:30 | 31 |
| 11 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 45:39 | 29 |
| 12 | SD Raiders | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 33:41 | 29 |
| 13 | Blacktown City | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 33:39 | 25 |
| 14 | St. George City | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 22:40 | 25 |
| 15 | St George Saints | 24 | 6 | 1 | 17 | 23:45 | 19 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 26:54 | 19 |
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)