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Stadium Background

APIA Leichhardt vs St George Saints

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Lambert Park
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Shaw K.
80' Event
Konestabo M. S.
90' Event
Casella J.

AI Match Summary

APIA Leichhardt in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored APIA Leichhardt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
APIA Leichhardt
22%
Draws
18%
St George Saints
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: APIA Leichhardt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • APIA Leichhardt have won more games recently than St George Saints.
  • Model gives APIA Leichhardt a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
APIA Leichhardt Clean Sheet 20%
St George Saints Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric APIA Leichhardt St George Saints
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 21 7
Draws 3 3
Losses 4 19
Goals Scored 1.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs St George Saints
2:1
Jun 28, 2025 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs APIA Leichhardt
2:3
Mar 15, 2025 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs St George Saints
3:3
Jun 29, 2024 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs St George Saints
5:0
Mar 23, 2024 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs APIA Leichhardt
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

APIA Leichhardt Compare

Top Goalscorer Shaw K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Konestabo M. S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

St George Saints Compare

Top Goalscorer Casella J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

APIA Leichhardt 58 / 100
St George Saints 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
APIA Leichhardt St George Saints

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick API Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

APIA Leichhardt found the back of the net in 96% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Defensive concern: St George Saints conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

APIA Leichhardt has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

APIA Leichhardt VS St George Saints
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marconi Stallions23174245:1455
2APIA Leichhardt23163447:2751
3Sydney Utd23153534:1748
4Rockdale Ilinden23113936:3236
5Sutherland Sharks231121036:3035
6Sydney FC U2323104932:3434
7Wollongong2395926:2932
8NWS Spirit23941027:2731
9Manly Utd2386925:2930
10Western Sydney Wanderers U2123851042:3429
11UNSW23841132:3528
12SD Raiders23751130:3926
13St. George City23671022:3725
14Blacktown City23571130:3922
15St George Saints23611622:3919
16Sydney Olympic23531525:4918