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APIA Leichhardt vs UNSW

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Lambert Park, Sydney
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Jordan R.
45' Event
Ortiz P.
51' Event
Ortiz P.

AI Match Summary

APIA Leichhardt in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored APIA Leichhardt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
APIA Leichhardt
11%
Draws
9%
UNSW
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: APIA Leichhardt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to APIA Leichhardt lately — more wins on the board than UNSW.
  • Win probability leans APIA Leichhardt's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
APIA Leichhardt Clean Sheet 19%
UNSW Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric APIA Leichhardt UNSW
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 24 14
Draws 3 4
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs UNSW
4:1
Apr 11, 2026 NPL NSW
UNSW vs APIA Leichhardt
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

APIA Leichhardt Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortiz P.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Jordan R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

UNSW Compare

Top Goalscorer Fowler C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

APIA Leichhardt 76 / 100
UNSW 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
APIA Leichhardt UNSW

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick API Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

APIA Leichhardt scored in 97% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

UNSW let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: APIA Leichhardt remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

APIA Leichhardt VS UNSW
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

APIA Leichhardt

(Home)
25 Jul
APIA Leichhardt
4 : 1
UNSW
18 Jul
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
3 : 5
APIA Leichhardt
14 Jul
APIA Leichhardt
2 : 1
Peninsula
11 Jul
APIA Leichhardt
2 : 1
Sydney FC U23
04 Jul
Sutherland Sharks
3 : 2
APIA Leichhardt
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UNSW

(Away)
25 Jul
APIA Leichhardt
4 : 1
UNSW
18 Jul
UNSW
3 : 1
NWS Spirit
11 Jul
St. George City
0 : 2
UNSW
04 Jul
UNSW
3 : 2
Sydney FC U23
27 Jun
UNSW
1 : 3
Sutherland Sharks
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1APIA Leichhardt25183456:3157
2Marconi Stallions25174446:1755
3Sydney Utd25163635:1851
4Sutherland Sharks261331042:3342
5Rockdale Ilinden251231043:3639
6Sydney FC U2325106932:3436
7Western Sydney Wanderers U21261051151:4035
8SD Raiders261051138:4435
9Manly Utd2597929:2934
10Wollongong26951229:3632
11UNSW26941337:4231
12NWS Spirit25941228:3431
13Blacktown City25771135:3928
14St. George City25771123:4028
15St George Saints26621825:4820
16Sydney Olympic25541626:5419
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)