Sport Picks
Match Events
1'
1'
Jordan R.
45'
45'
Ortiz P.
51'
51'
Ortiz P.
AI Match Summary
APIA Leichhardt in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored APIA Leichhardt.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
20%
10%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: APIA Leichhardt
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to APIA Leichhardt lately — more wins on the board than UNSW.
- Win probability leans APIA Leichhardt's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
APIA Leichhardt Clean Sheet 20%
UNSW Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | APIA Leichhardt | UNSW |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 22 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 5 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2.09 | 1.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.09 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 25, 2026 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs UNSW
4:1
Apr 11, 2026 NPL NSW
UNSW vs APIA Leichhardt
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
APIA Leichhardt Compare
Top Goalscorer Ortiz P.
3 Goals Assists Leader Jordan R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
UNSW Compare
Top Goalscorer Fowler C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
APIA Leichhardt 85 / 100
UNSW 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
APIA Leichhardt UNSW
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick APIA Leichhardt Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
APIA Leichhardt scored in 88% of their last 32 games.
Games between these two average 3.50 goals.
UNSW let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Solid form: APIA Leichhardt remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
APIA Leichhardt VS UNSW
2.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
APIA Leichhardt
(Home) 13 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
1 : 3 Sydney Utd
06 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
3 : 0 NWS Spirit
30 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
4 : 2 St. George City
23 Aug
Sydney Utd
0 : 0 APIA Leichhardt
19 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
0 : 1 Melbourne Victory
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
1 : 3 Sydney Utd
06 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
3 : 0 NWS Spirit
30 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
4 : 2 St. George City
19 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
0 : 1 Melbourne Victory
15 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
3 : 1 SD Raiders
Page 1 of 4
UNSW
(Away) 30 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
2 : 0 UNSW
22 Aug
UNSW
0 : 2 Manly Utd
16 Aug
Blacktown City
0 : 0 UNSW
08 Aug
UNSW
1 : 3 Sydney Olympic
01 Aug
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
2 : 1 UNSW
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
2 : 0 UNSW
16 Aug
Blacktown City
0 : 0 UNSW
01 Aug
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
2 : 1 UNSW
25 Jul
APIA Leichhardt
4 : 1 UNSW
11 Jul
St. George City
0 : 2 UNSW
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | APIA Leichhardt | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 66:35 | 68 |
| 2 | Sydney Utd | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 47:20 | 64 |
| 3 | Marconi Stallions | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 50:22 | 62 |
| 4 | Sutherland Sharks | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 46:38 | 46 |
| 5 | Manly Utd | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 39:35 | 44 |
| 6 | NWS Spirit | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 37:38 | 41 |
| 7 | SD Raiders | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 44:49 | 41 |
| 8 | Sydney FC U23 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:43 | 41 |
| 9 | Rockdale Ilinden | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 46:44 | 40 |
| 10 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 55:49 | 38 |
| 11 | Wollongong | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 35:43 | 38 |
| 12 | St. George City | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 30:46 | 37 |
| 13 | Blacktown City | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 35 |
| 14 | UNSW | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 38:49 | 32 |
| 15 | St George Saints | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 28:55 | 27 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 32:62 | 23 |
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)
