Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Apodaca vs Calor De San Pedro

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026
Apodaca Logo

Apodaca

1 - 0
FT
Calor De San Pedro Logo

Calor De San Pedro

Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Apodaca in this Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Apodaca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Apodaca
20%
Draws
40%
Calor De San Pedro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Apodaca have won more games recently than Calor De San Pedro.
  • Win probability leans Apodaca's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Apodaca Clean Sheet 15%
Calor De San Pedro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apodaca Calor De San Pedro
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.59 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Apodaca vs Calor De San Pedro
1:0
Nov 16, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Calor De San Pedro vs Apodaca
1:2
Mar 6, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Apodaca vs Calor De San Pedro
2:3
Oct 5, 2023 Liga Premier Serie A
Calor De San Pedro vs Apodaca
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apodaca 48 / 100
Calor De San Pedro 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apodaca Calor De San Pedro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Apodaca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Apodaca's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Calor De San Pedro has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Calor De San Pedro lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Apodaca VS Calor De San Pedro
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Apodaca

(Home)
27 Sept
La Tribu de Cd. Juarez
3 : 1
Apodaca
20 Sept
Apodaca
2 : 0
Guerreros de Autlan
12 Sept
Zapotlanejo
4 : 1
Apodaca
06 Sept
Apodaca
2 : 3
Saltillo Soccer F.C.
30 Aug
Mineros de Fresnillo
0 : 0
Apodaca
Page 1 of 6

Calor De San Pedro

(Away)
27 Sept
Halcones Negros
7 : 0
Calor De San Pedro
19 Sept
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 0
Ciervos
12 Sept
Real Refineros
0 : 0
Calor De San Pedro
05 Sept
Artesanos Metepec
3 : 0
Calor De San Pedro
18 Apr
Deportiva Venados
2 : 1
Calor De San Pedro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alacranes de Durango 26 21 2 3 71:16 74
2 Tigres de Alica 26 17 3 6 46:25 56
3 Cimarrones de Sonora 26 15 7 4 46:19 54
4 Leones Negros 2 26 16 2 8 42:26 53
5 Tecos 26 14 4 8 49:34 49
6 Tritones Vallarta 26 15 1 10 32:27 46
7 Mineros de Fresnillo 26 11 4 11 40:41 39
8 Los Cabos United 26 11 3 12 37:40 37
9 Guerreros de Autlan 26 8 5 13 38:42 32
10 UA Zacatecas 26 8 4 14 32:49 29
11 Ensenada FC 26 8 2 16 30:55 28
12 Reboceros de La Piedad 26 7 1 18 39:66 23
13 Zapotlanejo 26 6 1 19 39:73 21
14 Colima FC 26 4 3 19 24:52 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apodaca 26 21 2 3 47:19 66
2 FC Santiago 26 14 7 5 43:21 51
3 Zacatepec 26 12 8 6 29:15 45
4 Halcones de Zapopan 26 11 6 9 44:27 44
5 Calor De San Pedro 26 12 7 7 37:26 44
6 Gavilanes de Matamoros 26 12 5 9 31:22 44
7 Lobos ULMX 26 11 6 9 33:28 40
8 Correcaminos 2 26 9 7 10 27:25 36
9 Chilpancingo 26 9 8 9 33:41 35
10 Cordobes FC 26 8 6 12 29:30 30
11 Zitacuaro 26 6 10 10 22:31 28
12 CS Canamy 26 5 8 13 33:53 26
13 Ciervos 26 4 4 18 20:50 18
14 Atletico Hidalgo 26 4 4 18 22:62 16
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 24 21 3 0 55:9 71
2 Deportiva Venados 24 15 4 5 61:25 52
3 Tapachula 24 13 0 11 51:35 44
4 Celaya 24 12 4 8 42:32 43
5 Inter Playa Del Carmen 24 13 4 7 35:28 42
6 Montaneses 24 12 2 10 35:28 38
7 Pioneros 24 10 3 11 35:35 35
8 Jaguares De Chiapas 24 9 4 11 33:32 34
9 Heroes de Zaci 24 10 2 12 33:46 34
10 Chapulineros 24 5 8 11 21:33 23
11 Canoneros FC 24 7 1 16 25:49 22
12 Neza FC 24 5 2 17 25:73 19
13 Dragones Toluca 24 4 3 17 21:47 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)