Sport Picks
Match Events
31'
31'
70'
70'
AI Match Summary
Apodaca in this Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Apodaca.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
30%
12%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Apodaca
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Apodaca have won more games recently than Ciervos.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on Apodaca taking it.
- Regular Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Apodaca Clean Sheet 68%
Ciervos Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Apodaca | Ciervos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 22 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 0.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 11, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Apodaca vs Ciervos
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Ciervos vs Apodaca
0:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Apodaca 95 / 100
Ciervos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Apodaca Ciervos
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Apodaca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Apodaca scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Ciervos has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Apodaca has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Apodaca VS Ciervos
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Apodaca
(Home) 03 May
Apodaca
2 : 4 Deportiva Venados
30 Apr
Deportiva Venados
1 : 1 Apodaca
26 Apr
Apodaca
3 : 1 Inter Playa Del Carmen
23 Apr
Inter Playa Del Carmen
0 : 0 Apodaca
11 Apr
Correcaminos 2
1 : 0 Apodaca
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Apodaca
2 : 4 Deportiva Venados
26 Apr
Apodaca
3 : 1 Inter Playa Del Carmen
29 Mar
Apodaca
1 : 0 Calor De San Pedro
15 Mar
Apodaca
3 : 0 Atletico Hidalgo
01 Mar
Apodaca
3 : 0 Halcones de Zapopan
Page 1 of 3
Ciervos
(Away) 11 Apr
Ciervos
1 : 2 Chilpancingo
31 Mar
FC Santiago
5 : 0 Ciervos
21 Mar
Ciervos
2 : 3 Zacatepec
14 Mar
CS Canamy
1 : 1 Ciervos
07 Mar
Ciervos
0 : 2 Gavilanes de Matamoros
Page 1 of 6
31 Mar
FC Santiago
5 : 0 Ciervos
14 Mar
CS Canamy
1 : 1 Ciervos
22 Feb
Calor De San Pedro
3 : 1 Ciervos
06 Feb
Atletico Hidalgo
2 : 3 Ciervos
24 Jan
Halcones de Zapopan
2 : 1 Ciervos
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alacranes de Durango | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 71:16 | 74 |
| 2 | Tigres de Alica | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 46:25 | 56 |
| 3 | Cimarrones de Sonora | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 46:19 | 54 |
| 4 | Leones Negros 2 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 42:26 | 53 |
| 5 | Tecos | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 49:34 | 49 |
| 6 | Tritones Vallarta | 26 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 32:27 | 46 |
| 7 | Mineros de Fresnillo | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 40:41 | 39 |
| 8 | Los Cabos United | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 37:40 | 37 |
| 9 | Guerreros de Autlan | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 38:42 | 32 |
| 10 | UA Zacatecas | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 32:49 | 29 |
| 11 | Ensenada FC | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 30:55 | 28 |
| 12 | Reboceros de La Piedad | 26 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 39:66 | 23 |
| 13 | Zapotlanejo | 26 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 39:73 | 21 |
| 14 | Colima FC | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 24:52 | 17 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apodaca | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 47:19 | 66 |
| 2 | FC Santiago | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 43:21 | 51 |
| 3 | Zacatepec | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 29:15 | 45 |
| 4 | Halcones de Zapopan | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 44:27 | 44 |
| 5 | Calor De San Pedro | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 37:26 | 44 |
| 6 | Gavilanes de Matamoros | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 31:22 | 44 |
| 7 | Lobos ULMX | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:28 | 40 |
| 8 | Correcaminos 2 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 27:25 | 36 |
| 9 | Chilpancingo | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 33:41 | 35 |
| 10 | Cordobes FC | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | 30 |
| 11 | Zitacuaro | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 22:31 | 28 |
| 12 | CS Canamy | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 33:53 | 26 |
| 13 | Ciervos | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 20:50 | 18 |
| 14 | Atletico Hidalgo | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 22:62 | 16 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing de Veracruz | 24 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 55:9 | 71 |
| 2 | Deportiva Venados | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 61:25 | 52 |
| 3 | Tapachula | 24 | 13 | 0 | 11 | 51:35 | 44 |
| 4 | Celaya | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 42:32 | 43 |
| 5 | Inter Playa Del Carmen | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 35:28 | 42 |
| 6 | Montaneses | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 35:28 | 38 |
| 7 | Pioneros | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 35:35 | 35 |
| 8 | Jaguares De Chiapas | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 34 |
| 9 | Heroes de Zaci | 24 | 10 | 2 | 12 | 33:46 | 34 |
| 10 | Chapulineros | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 21:33 | 23 |
| 11 | Canoneros FC | 24 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 25:49 | 22 |
| 12 | Neza FC | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 25:73 | 19 |
| 13 | Dragones Toluca | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 21:47 | 17 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
