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Apodaca vs Correcaminos 2

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026
Apodaca Logo

Apodaca

1 - 0
FT
Correcaminos 2 Logo

Correcaminos 2

Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Montelongo M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Apodaca in this Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Apodaca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Apodaca
30%
Draws
31%
Correcaminos 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Apodaca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Apodaca have won more games recently than Correcaminos 2.
  • Apodaca are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Apodaca have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Apodaca Clean Sheet 68%
Correcaminos 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apodaca Correcaminos 2
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 23 11
Draws 4 9
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.87 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.87 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Correcaminos 2 vs Apodaca
1:0
Nov 22, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Apodaca vs Correcaminos 2
1:0
Apr 4, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Correcaminos 2 vs Apodaca
0:1
Nov 24, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Apodaca vs Correcaminos 2
4:3
Apr 12, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Correcaminos 2 vs Apodaca
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Apodaca Compare

Top Goalscorer Montelongo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Correcaminos 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apodaca 68 / 100
Correcaminos 2 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apodaca Correcaminos 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Apodaca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Apodaca scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Apodaca went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Correcaminos 2 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Apodaca VS Correcaminos 2
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Apodaca

(Home)
03 May
Apodaca
2 : 4
Deportiva Venados
30 Apr
Deportiva Venados
1 : 1
Apodaca
26 Apr
Apodaca
3 : 1
Inter Playa Del Carmen
23 Apr
Inter Playa Del Carmen
0 : 0
Apodaca
11 Apr
Correcaminos 2
1 : 0
Apodaca
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Correcaminos 2

(Away)
11 Apr
Correcaminos 2
1 : 0
Apodaca
28 Mar
Chilpancingo
2 : 1
Correcaminos 2
21 Mar
Correcaminos 2
1 : 1
FC Santiago
14 Mar
Zacatepec
3 : 2
Correcaminos 2
07 Mar
Correcaminos 2
2 : 4
CS Canamy
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alacranes de Durango 26 21 2 3 71:16 74
2 Tigres de Alica 26 17 3 6 46:25 56
3 Cimarrones de Sonora 26 15 7 4 46:19 54
4 Leones Negros 2 26 16 2 8 42:26 53
5 Tecos 26 14 4 8 49:34 49
6 Tritones Vallarta 26 15 1 10 32:27 46
7 Mineros de Fresnillo 26 11 4 11 40:41 39
8 Los Cabos United 26 11 3 12 37:40 37
9 Guerreros de Autlan 26 8 5 13 38:42 32
10 UA Zacatecas 26 8 4 14 32:49 29
11 Ensenada FC 26 8 2 16 30:55 28
12 Reboceros de La Piedad 26 7 1 18 39:66 23
13 Zapotlanejo 26 6 1 19 39:73 21
14 Colima FC 26 4 3 19 24:52 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apodaca 26 21 2 3 47:19 66
2 FC Santiago 26 14 7 5 43:21 51
3 Zacatepec 26 12 8 6 29:15 45
4 Halcones de Zapopan 26 11 6 9 44:27 44
5 Calor De San Pedro 26 12 7 7 37:26 44
6 Gavilanes de Matamoros 26 12 5 9 31:22 44
7 Lobos ULMX 26 11 6 9 33:28 40
8 Correcaminos 2 26 9 7 10 27:25 36
9 Chilpancingo 26 9 8 9 33:41 35
10 Cordobes FC 26 8 6 12 29:30 30
11 Zitacuaro 26 6 10 10 22:31 28
12 CS Canamy 26 5 8 13 33:53 26
13 Ciervos 26 4 4 18 20:50 18
14 Atletico Hidalgo 26 4 4 18 22:62 16
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 24 21 3 0 55:9 71
2 Deportiva Venados 24 15 4 5 61:25 52
3 Tapachula 24 13 0 11 51:35 44
4 Celaya 24 12 4 8 42:32 43
5 Inter Playa Del Carmen 24 13 4 7 35:28 42
6 Montaneses 24 12 2 10 35:28 38
7 Pioneros 24 10 3 11 35:35 35
8 Jaguares De Chiapas 24 9 4 11 33:32 34
9 Heroes de Zaci 24 10 2 12 33:46 34
10 Chapulineros 24 5 8 11 21:33 23
11 Canoneros FC 24 7 1 16 25:49 22
12 Neza FC 24 5 2 17 25:73 19
13 Dragones Toluca 24 4 3 17 21:47 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)