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APOEL vs Apea Akrotiriou - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus Cup 2025/2026 GSP Stadium, Nicosia
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Tomas M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

APOEL in this Cyprus Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
APOEL
30%
Draws
51%
Apea Akrotiriou
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Apea Akrotiriou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Apea Akrotiriou have won more games recently than APOEL.
  • Model gives Apea Akrotiriou a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Apea Akrotiriou arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor APOEL, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
APOEL Clean Sheet 15%
Apea Akrotiriou Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric APOEL Apea Akrotiriou
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.47 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 7, 2026 Cyprus Cup
APOEL vs Apea Akrotiriou
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

APOEL 27 / 100
Apea Akrotiriou 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
APOEL Apea Akrotiriou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Apea Akrotiriou Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

APOEL scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Apea Akrotiriou let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

APOEL went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

APOEL VS Apea Akrotiriou
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

APOEL

(Home)
19 Sept
Apollon Limassol
2 : 2
APOEL
12 Sept
Anorthosis
2 : 1
APOEL
06 Sept
APOEL
6 : 0
AEL Limassol
29 Aug
AEK Larnaca
3 : 1
APOEL
22 Aug
Ol. Nicosia
3 : 3
APOEL
Page 1 of 6

Apea Akrotiriou

(Away)
19 Sept
Digenis Akritas
0 : 1
Apea Akrotiriou
12 Sept
Apea Akrotiriou
3 : 3
Doxa
25 Apr
Apea Akrotiriou
2 : 1
Ethnikos Latsion
21 Apr
Iraklis Yerolakkou
0 : 2
Apea Akrotiriou
04 Apr
Apea Akrotiriou
4 : 0
Kitiou
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
M.E.A.P. Nisou 1
Apollon Limassol 5
Karmiotissa 1
Anorthosis 3
ASIL Lysi 0
Ol. Nicosia 2
Omonia Aradippou 4
Ayia Napa 0
APOEL 5
AEZ Zakakiou 0
Achyronas-Onisilos 0
Apea Akrotiriou 2
Kitiou 0
Achnas 4
Paralimni 2
Halkanoras 0
Omonia -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK Larnaca -
Aris Limassol 2
Omonia 29th May 1
Ethnikos Latsion 1
AEL Limassol 2
Krasava 1
Nea Salamis 2
TBD -
Digenis Akritas -
Pafos -
TBD -
Akritas Chloraka 5
Doxa 2
1/8-finals
Apollon Limassol 2
Anorthosis 0
Ol. Nicosia 3
Omonia Aradippou 4
APOEL 1
Apea Akrotiriou 0
Achnas 1
Paralimni 2
Omonia 2
AEK Larnaca 1
Aris Limassol 0
AEL Limassol 1
Nea Salamis 2
Digenis Akritas 3
Pafos 2
Akritas Chloraka 1
Quarter-finals
Apollon Limassol 3
Omonia Aradippou 2
APOEL 3
Paralimni 2
Omonia 1
AEL Limassol 2
Digenis Akritas 0
Pafos 3
Semi-finals
Apollon Limassol 4
APOEL 2
AEL Limassol 2
Pafos 5
Final
Apollon Limassol 0
Pafos 2