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Stadium Background

APOEL vs Apollon Limassol

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus Cup 2025/2026 GSP Stadium, Nicosia
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Sub
Stafylidis K. In: Vitor Meer
Out: Stafylidis K.
62'
Sub
Rodrigues G. In: Zmrhal J.
Out: Rodrigues G.
64'
Olayinka P.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Cyprus Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
APOEL
35%
Draws
35%
Apollon Limassol
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • APOEL haven't matched Apollon Limassol's recent run of results.
  • Model gives APOEL a 30% chance of winning this.
  • Apollon Limassol arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Apollon Limassol, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
APOEL Clean Sheet 10%
Apollon Limassol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric APOEL Apollon Limassol
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 5 9
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.48 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Cyprus League
Apollon Limassol vs APOEL
2:2
May 10, 2026 Cyprus League
Apollon Limassol vs APOEL
2:0
Apr 29, 2026 Cyprus Cup
APOEL vs Apollon Limassol
0:0
Apr 22, 2026 Cyprus Cup
Apollon Limassol vs APOEL
4:2
Apr 14, 2026 Cyprus League
APOEL vs Apollon Limassol
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

APOEL 56 / 100
Apollon Limassol 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
APOEL Apollon Limassol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APOEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

APOEL found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Apollon Limassol has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

APOEL went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

APOEL VS Apollon Limassol
2.38 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

APOEL

(Home)
19 Sept
Apollon Limassol
2 : 2
APOEL
12 Sept
Anorthosis
2 : 1
APOEL
06 Sept
APOEL
6 : 0
AEL Limassol
29 Aug
AEK Larnaca
3 : 1
APOEL
22 Aug
Ol. Nicosia
3 : 3
APOEL
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Apollon Limassol

(Away)
03 Oct
AEK Larnaca
3 : 0
Apollon Limassol
19 Sept
Apollon Limassol
2 : 2
APOEL
12 Sept
Omonia
0 : 0
Apollon Limassol
05 Sept
Apollon Limassol
3 : 1
Anorthosis
29 Aug
Aris Limassol
2 : 2
Apollon Limassol
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
M.E.A.P. Nisou 1
Apollon Limassol 5
Karmiotissa 1
Anorthosis 3
ASIL Lysi 0
Ol. Nicosia 2
Omonia Aradippou 4
Ayia Napa 0
APOEL 5
AEZ Zakakiou 0
Achyronas-Onisilos 0
Apea Akrotiriou 2
Kitiou 0
Achnas 4
Paralimni 2
Halkanoras 0
Omonia -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK Larnaca -
Aris Limassol 2
Omonia 29th May 1
Ethnikos Latsion 1
AEL Limassol 2
Krasava 1
Nea Salamis 2
TBD -
Digenis Akritas -
Pafos -
TBD -
Akritas Chloraka 5
Doxa 2
1/8-finals
Apollon Limassol 2
Anorthosis 0
Ol. Nicosia 3
Omonia Aradippou 4
APOEL 1
Apea Akrotiriou 0
Achnas 1
Paralimni 2
Omonia 2
AEK Larnaca 1
Aris Limassol 0
AEL Limassol 1
Nea Salamis 2
Digenis Akritas 3
Pafos 2
Akritas Chloraka 1
Quarter-finals
Apollon Limassol 3
Omonia Aradippou 2
APOEL 3
Paralimni 2
Omonia 1
AEL Limassol 2
Digenis Akritas 0
Pafos 3
Semi-finals
Apollon Limassol 4
APOEL 2
AEL Limassol 2
Pafos 5
Final
Apollon Limassol 0
Pafos 2