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Apollon Kalamaria vs Chaniotis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2024/2025
Wed, Apr 16, 2025
3 - 0
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Apollon Kalamaria host Chaniotis in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2024/2025. Apollon Kalamaria go into this one as the clear favorite. Apollon Kalamaria have averaged 1.74 scored and 0.58 conceded recently, against Chaniotis's 0.52 scored and 2.1 conceded. Past meetings favor Apollon Kalamaria slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 16, 2025, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.42 vs 0.69, favoring Apollon Kalamaria. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Apollon Kalamaria
20%
Draws
0%
Chaniotis
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Apollon Kalamaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Apollon Kalamaria lately — more wins on the board than Chaniotis.
  • Model gives Apollon Kalamaria a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.2%
Apollon Kalamaria Clean Sheet 20%
Chaniotis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apollon Kalamaria Chaniotis
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 21 5
Draws 5 3
Losses 5 21
Goals Scored 1.74 0.52
Goals Conceded 0.58 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Apollon Kalamaria vs Chaniotis
3:0
Dec 22, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Chaniotis vs Apollon Kalamaria
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apollon Kalamaria 85 / 100
Chaniotis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apollon Kalamaria Chaniotis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Apollon Kalamaria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Away concern: Chaniotis has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Apollon Kalamaria scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Chaniotis has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Apollon Kalamaria VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Apollon Kalamaria

(Home)
05 Oct
Zakynthos
1 : 1
Apollon Kalamaria
27 Sept
Apollon Kalamaria
1 : 0
Karditsa
20 Sept
Asteras Tripolis B
1 : 0
Apollon Kalamaria
14 Sept
Panionios
1 : 0
Apollon Kalamaria
07 Sept
Ellas Syrou
2 : 2
Apollon Kalamaria
Page 1 of 7

Chaniotis

(Away)
27 Apr
Chaniotis
0 : 3
Iraklis Ammoudias
16 Apr
Apollon Kalamaria
3 : 0
Chaniotis
12 Apr
Chaniotis
0 : 3
Chrisoupolis
06 Apr
Panthrakikos
3 : 0
Chaniotis
30 Mar
Kilkisiakos
3 : 0
Chaniotis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chrisoupolis 34 28 4 2 79:15 88
2 Panthrakikos 34 28 5 1 78:17 86
3 Apollon Kalamaria 34 24 2 8 60:19 74
4 Poseidonas Michanionas 34 20 6 8 77:38 66
5 PAOK Kristonis 34 19 5 10 54:32 62
6 Krya Vrysi 34 15 9 10 49:36 54
7 Iraklis Ammoudias 34 14 9 11 44:32 51
8 Evosmou 34 13 10 11 49:42 49
9 Kilkisiakos 34 11 14 9 42:42 47
10 Thermaikos FC 34 14 7 13 41:34 46
11 Orestis Orestiadas 34 12 8 14 30:39 44
12 Apollon Paralimniou 34 11 9 14 30:37 42
13 Alexandroupoli FC 34 11 6 17 40:39 39
14 Aris Avatou 34 9 6 19 40:49 33
15 Aris Pigon 34 8 5 21 24:68 29
16 Nea Amisou 34 5 4 25 29:76 19
17 Chaniotis 33 5 6 22 18:65 12
18 Moudania 33 0 1 32 7:111 -8
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