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Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Play-offs

Apollon Kalamaria

2 - 1

Elassona

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Play-offs game between Apollon Kalamaria and Elassona finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Apollon Kalamaria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Apollon Kalamaria

Draws

Elassona

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Apollon Kalamaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Apollon Kalamaria carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Apollon Kalamaria a 90% chance of winning this.
Regular Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Play-offs form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%

Apollon Kalamaria Clean Sheet 20%

Elassona Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Apollon Kalamaria	Elassona
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	24	13
Draws	4	10
Losses	2	7
Goals Scored	1.5	1
Goals Conceded	0.75	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Play-offs

Elassona vs Apollon Kalamaria

0:0

Apr 29, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Play-offs

Apollon Kalamaria vs Elassona

2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apollon Kalamaria 85 / 100

Elassona 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Apollon Kalamaria Elassona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Apollon Kalamaria found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Elassona has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Apollon Kalamaria stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Apollon Kalamaria VS Elassona

1.5 Goals Scored 1

0.75 Goals Conceded 1

63% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Apollon Kalamaria

(Home)

17 May

Apollon Kalamaria

2 : 0

Panthrakikos

13 May

Elassona

0 : 0

Apollon Kalamaria

10 May

Apollon Kalamaria

3 : 2

Ethnikos Neou

03 May

Panthrakikos

2 : 0

Apollon Kalamaria

29 Apr

Apollon Kalamaria

2 : 1

Elassona

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Elassona

(Away)

17 May

Elassona

2 : 3

Ethnikos Neou

13 May

Elassona

0 : 0

Apollon Kalamaria

10 May

Panthrakikos

5 : 1

Elassona

03 May

Ethnikos Neou

1 : 2

Elassona

29 Apr

Apollon Kalamaria

2 : 1

Elassona

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