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Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Play-offs

Apollon Kalamaria

2 - 1

Elassona

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Play-offs game between Apollon Kalamaria and Elassona finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Apollon Kalamaria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%

Apollon Kalamaria

20%

Draws

51%

Elassona

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Elassona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence

Apollon Kalamaria carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Apollon Kalamaria a 36% chance of winning this.
Regular Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Play-offs form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%

Apollon Kalamaria Clean Sheet 19%

Elassona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Apollon Kalamaria	Elassona
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	20	14
Draws	4	9
Losses	5	6
Goals Scored	1.72	1.24
Goals Conceded	0.55	0.93
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Play-offs

Elassona vs Apollon Kalamaria

0:0

Apr 29, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Play-offs

Apollon Kalamaria vs Elassona

2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apollon Kalamaria 36 / 100

Elassona 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Apollon Kalamaria Elassona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Apollon Kalamaria found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Elassona has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Apollon Kalamaria stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Apollon Kalamaria VS Elassona

1.25 Goals Scored 1.38

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75

63% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Apollon Kalamaria

(Home)

27 Sept

Apollon Kalamaria

1 : 0

Karditsa

20 Sept

Asteras Tripolis B

1 : 0

Apollon Kalamaria

14 Sept

Panionios

1 : 0

Apollon Kalamaria

07 Sept

Ellas Syrou

2 : 2

Apollon Kalamaria

19 Aug

Chrisoupolis

1 : 0

Apollon Kalamaria

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Elassona

(Away)

26 Sept

Elassona

3 : 0

Ethnikos Neou

17 May

Elassona

2 : 3

Ethnikos Neou

13 May

Elassona

0 : 0

Apollon Kalamaria

10 May

Panthrakikos

5 : 1

Elassona

03 May

Ethnikos Neou

1 : 2

Elassona

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