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Apollon Kalythion vs Amarynthiakos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026 game between Apollon Kalythion and Amarynthiakos finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Apollon Kalythion.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Apollon Kalythion
15%
Draws
0%
Amarynthiakos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Apollon Kalythion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Apollon Kalythion carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Apollon Kalythion taking it.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Apollon Kalythion have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Apollon Kalythion Clean Sheet 68%
Amarynthiakos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apollon Kalythion Amarynthiakos
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 22
Goals Scored 1.29 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Apollon Kalythion vs Amarynthiakos
1:0
Feb 8, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Amarynthiakos vs Apollon Kalythion
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Apollon Kalythion vs Amarynthiakos
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apollon Kalythion 95 / 100
Amarynthiakos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apollon Kalythion Amarynthiakos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Apollon Kalythion Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Amarynthiakos conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Difficult form: Amarynthiakos registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Apollon Kalythion scored in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Apollon Kalythion VS Amarynthiakos
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Apollon Kalythion

(Home)
04 Oct
Doxa Vyronas
1 : 0
Apollon Kalythion
27 Sept
PAE Egaleo
4 : 1
Apollon Kalythion
08 Apr
Nea Ionia
4 : 2
Apollon Kalythion
05 Apr
Apollon Kalythion
1 : 0
Amarynthiakos
01 Apr
Doxa Vyronas
0 : 0
Apollon Kalythion
Page 1 of 6

Amarynthiakos

(Away)
08 Apr
Amarynthiakos
0 : 2
Doxa Vyronas
05 Apr
Apollon Kalythion
1 : 0
Amarynthiakos
01 Apr
Amarynthiakos
0 : 2
Kentavros Vrilission
28 Mar
Nea Ionia
1 : 0
Amarynthiakos
01 Mar
Amarynthiakos
0 : 1
Aris Petroupolis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aris Petroupolis 22 15 6 1 36:11 51
2 Nea Artaki 22 13 8 1 26:8 47
3 Diagoras FC 22 9 8 5 28:15 35
4 AO Karystou 22 9 8 5 22:12 35
5 Afantou 22 9 5 8 25:24 32
6 E. Asteras 22 9 5 8 32:26 32
7 Nea Ionia 22 9 4 9 23:23 31
8 Doxa Vyronas 22 8 7 7 32:21 31
9 Apollon Kalythion 22 9 4 9 32:31 31
10 Kentavros Vrilission 22 8 3 11 27:30 27
11 Amarynthiakos 22 4 2 16 20:36 14
12 Rodos 22 0 0 22 0:66 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026 (Losers stage)