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Apollon Kalythion vs Rodos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026
Sun, Jan 11, 2026
3 - 0
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Apollon Kalythion host Rodos in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026. Apollon Kalythion go into this one as the clear favorite. Apollon Kalythion have averaged 1.29 scored and 1.43 conceded recently, against Rodos's 0.33 scored and 2.6 conceded. Head-to-head, Apollon Kalythion have won 2 to Rodos's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 11, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 1.00) point toward Apollon Kalythion. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Apollon Kalythion
15%
Draws
0%
Rodos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Apollon Kalythion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Apollon Kalythion have won more games recently than Rodos.
  • Model gives Apollon Kalythion a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Apollon Kalythion Clean Sheet 20%
Rodos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apollon Kalythion Rodos
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 2
Draws 6 2
Losses 12 26
Goals Scored 1.29 0.33
Goals Conceded 1.43 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Apollon Kalythion vs Rodos
3:0
Oct 12, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Rodos vs Apollon Kalythion
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apollon Kalythion 85 / 100
Rodos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apollon Kalythion Rodos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Apollon Kalythion Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rodos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Rodos lost 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Apollon Kalythion found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Apollon Kalythion VS Rodos
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 3
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Apollon Kalythion

(Home)
04 Oct
Doxa Vyronas
1 : 0
Apollon Kalythion
27 Sept
PAE Egaleo
4 : 1
Apollon Kalythion
08 Apr
Nea Ionia
4 : 2
Apollon Kalythion
05 Apr
Apollon Kalythion
1 : 0
Amarynthiakos
01 Apr
Doxa Vyronas
0 : 0
Apollon Kalythion
Page 1 of 6

Rodos

(Away)
01 Mar
AO Karystou
3 : 0
Rodos
21 Feb
Rodos
0 : 3
Nea Ionia
15 Feb
E. Asteras
3 : 0
Rodos
07 Feb
Rodos
0 : 3
Kentavros Vrilission
01 Feb
Rodos
0 : 3
Aris Petroupolis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aris Petroupolis 22 15 6 1 36:11 51
2 Nea Artaki 22 13 8 1 26:8 47
3 Diagoras FC 22 9 8 5 28:15 35
4 AO Karystou 22 9 8 5 22:12 35
5 Afantou 22 9 5 8 25:24 32
6 E. Asteras 22 9 5 8 32:26 32
7 Nea Ionia 22 9 4 9 23:23 31
8 Doxa Vyronas 22 8 7 7 32:21 31
9 Apollon Kalythion 22 9 4 9 32:31 31
10 Kentavros Vrilission 22 8 3 11 27:30 27
11 Amarynthiakos 22 4 2 16 20:36 14
12 Rodos 22 0 0 22 0:66 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026 (Losers stage)