Sport Picks
Apollon Limassol vs APOEL - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Cyprus
Cyprus Cup 2025/2026 Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi 
Match Events
11'
11'
Stafylidis K.
Own Goal
23'
23'
Mancini D.
33'
33'
Thomas B.
AI Match Summary
Apollon Limassol in this Cyprus Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 4-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Apollon Limassol lately — more wins on the board than APOEL.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Apollon Limassol have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Apollon Limassol, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Apollon Limassol Clean Sheet 11%
APOEL Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Apollon Limassol | APOEL |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Cyprus League
Apollon Limassol vs APOEL
2:2
May 10, 2026 Cyprus League
Apollon Limassol vs APOEL
2:0
Apr 29, 2026 Cyprus Cup
APOEL vs Apollon Limassol
0:0
Apr 22, 2026 Cyprus Cup
Apollon Limassol vs APOEL
4:2
Apr 14, 2026 Cyprus League
APOEL vs Apollon Limassol
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Apollon Limassol Compare
Top Goalscorer Thomas B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Marques P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
APOEL Compare
Top Goalscorer Mancini D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Olayinka P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Apollon Limassol 30 / 100
APOEL 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Apollon Limassol APOEL
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick APOEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
APOEL's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Apollon Limassol found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
Apollon Limassol went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Apollon Limassol VS APOEL
2 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Apollon Limassol
(Home) 03 Oct
AEK Larnaca
3 : 0 Apollon Limassol
19 Sept
Apollon Limassol
2 : 2 APOEL
12 Sept
Omonia
0 : 0 Apollon Limassol
05 Sept
Apollon Limassol
3 : 1 Anorthosis
29 Aug
Aris Limassol
2 : 2 Apollon Limassol
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Apollon Limassol
2 : 2 APOEL
05 Sept
Apollon Limassol
3 : 1 Anorthosis
11 Aug
Apollon Limassol
2 : 4 Brann
28 Jul
Apollon Limassol
3 : 0 Dila Gori
16 Jul
Apollon Limassol
0 : 0 AEK Larnaca
Page 1 of 3
APOEL
(Away) 19 Sept
Apollon Limassol
2 : 2 APOEL
12 Sept
Anorthosis
2 : 1 APOEL
06 Sept
APOEL
6 : 0 AEL Limassol
29 Aug
AEK Larnaca
3 : 1 APOEL
22 Aug
Ol. Nicosia
3 : 3 APOEL
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Apollon Limassol
2 : 2 APOEL
12 Sept
Anorthosis
2 : 1 APOEL
29 Aug
AEK Larnaca
3 : 1 APOEL
22 Aug
Ol. Nicosia
3 : 3 APOEL
16 Aug
Anorthosis
1 : 3 APOEL
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
M.E.A.P. Nisou 1
Apollon Limassol 5
Karmiotissa 1
Anorthosis 3
ASIL Lysi 0
Ol. Nicosia 2
Omonia Aradippou 4
Ayia Napa 0
APOEL 5
AEZ Zakakiou 0
Achyronas-Onisilos 0
Apea Akrotiriou 2
Kitiou 0
Achnas 4
Paralimni 2
Halkanoras 0
Omonia -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK Larnaca -
Aris Limassol 2
Omonia 29th May 1
Ethnikos Latsion 1
AEL Limassol 2
Krasava 1
Nea Salamis 2
TBD -
Digenis Akritas -
Pafos -
TBD -
Akritas Chloraka 5
Doxa 2
1/8-finals
Apollon Limassol 2
Anorthosis 0
Ol. Nicosia 3
Omonia Aradippou 4
APOEL 1
Apea Akrotiriou 0
Achnas 1
Paralimni 2
Omonia 2
AEK Larnaca 1
Aris Limassol 0
AEL Limassol 1
Nea Salamis 2
Digenis Akritas 3
Pafos 2
Akritas Chloraka 1
Quarter-finals
Apollon Limassol 3
Omonia Aradippou 2
APOEL 3
Paralimni 2
Omonia 1
AEL Limassol 2
Digenis Akritas 0
Pafos 3
Semi-finals
Apollon Limassol 4
APOEL 2
AEL Limassol 2
Pafos 5
Final
Apollon Limassol 0
Pafos 2
