Sport Picks

Cyprus

Cyprus League Alphamega Stadium

Apollon Limassol

3 - 2

Aris Limassol

Our Tip

Match Events

Sub

Gaspar B. In: Shikkis A.

Out: Gaspar B.

14'

Youssef A.

33'

Youssef A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Apollon Limassol in this Cyprus League matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Apollon Limassol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Apollon Limassol

17%

Draws

13%

Aris Limassol

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Apollon Limassol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Apollon Limassol lately — more wins on the board than Aris Limassol.
70% — that's where the model lands on Apollon Limassol taking it.
Regular Cyprus League form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Aris Limassol here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%

Apollon Limassol Clean Sheet 18%

Aris Limassol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Apollon Limassol	Aris Limassol
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	19	9
Draws	7	8
Losses	6	13
Goals Scored	1.63	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Cyprus League

Apollon Limassol vs Aris Limassol

Possession: 59% - 50% Cards: 2 - 1

3:2

Apr 18, 2026 Cyprus League

Aris Limassol vs Apollon Limassol

Possession: 48% - 54% Cards: 1 - 4

3:0

Dec 14, 2025 Cyprus League

Apollon Limassol vs Aris Limassol

Possession: 41% - 42% Cards: 1 - 2

0:2

Aug 23, 2025 Cyprus League

Aris Limassol vs Apollon Limassol

Possession: 48% - 56% Cards: 2 - 2

3:1

May 18, 2025 Cyprus League

Apollon Limassol vs Aris Limassol

Possession: 56% - 47% Cards: 1 - 1

2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Apollon Limassol Compare

Top Goalscorer Youssef A.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Escriche D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Aris Limassol Compare

Top Goalscorer Effaghe R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Kakoullis A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apollon Limassol 67 / 100

Aris Limassol 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Apollon Limassol Aris Limassol

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Apollon Limassol scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Aris Limassol's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Apollon Limassol stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Apollon Limassol VS Aris Limassol

1.63 Goals Scored 1.13

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75

75% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Omonia	36	27	6	3	88:24	87
2	AEK Larnaca	36	20	9	7	62:33	69
3	Apollon Limassol	36	20	7	9	52:41	67
4	Pafos	36	18	8	10	66:38	62
5	APOEL	36	15	7	14	53:45	52
6	Aris Limassol	36	14	9	13	61:45	51