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Apollon Limassol vs Omonia Aradippou

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus Cup Alphamega Stadium
Wed, Feb 4, 2026
3 - 2
04:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Marques P.
19' Event
Marques P.
32' Event
Polykarpou P.

AI Match Summary

The Cyprus Cup game between Apollon Limassol and Omonia Aradippou finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Apollon Limassol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Apollon Limassol
33%
Draws
27%
Omonia Aradippou
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Apollon Limassol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Apollon Limassol come out ahead of Omonia Aradippou on wins alone.
  • Model gives Apollon Limassol a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Apollon Limassol have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Apollon Limassol Clean Sheet 68%
Omonia Aradippou Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apollon Limassol Omonia Aradippou
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 22 13
Draws 8 5
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.20

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2026 Cyprus Cup
Apollon Limassol vs Omonia Aradippou
3:2
Jan 30, 2026 Cyprus League
Omonia Aradippou vs Apollon Limassol
0:1
Oct 18, 2025 Cyprus League
Apollon Limassol vs Omonia Aradippou
1:0
Aug 16, 2025 Club Friendly
Apollon Limassol vs Omonia Aradippou
1:0
Feb 2, 2025 Cyprus League
Apollon Limassol vs Omonia Aradippou
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Apollon Limassol Compare

Top Goalscorer Marques P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Thomas B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Omonia Aradippou Compare

Top Goalscorer Polykarpou P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lomonaco S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.78

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apollon Limassol 50 / 100
Omonia Aradippou 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apollon Limassol Omonia Aradippou

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Apollon Limassol's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Omonia Aradippou let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Apollon Limassol went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Apollon Limassol VS Omonia Aradippou
1.5 Goals Scored 1.4
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 60%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
M.E.A.P. Nisou1
Apollon Limassol5
Karmiotissa1
Anorthosis3
ASIL Lysi0
Ol. Nicosia2
Omonia Aradippou4
Ayia Napa0
APOEL5
AEZ Zakakiou0
Achyronas-Onisilos0
Apea Akrotiriou2
Kitiou0
Achnas4
Paralimni2
Halkanoras0
Omonia-
TBD-
TBD-
AEK Larnaca-
Aris Limassol2
Omonia 29th May1
Ethnikos Latsion1
AEL Limassol2
Krasava1
Nea Salamis2
TBD-
Digenis Akritas-
Pafos-
TBD-
Akritas Chloraka5
Doxa2
1/8-finals
Apollon Limassol2
Anorthosis0
Ol. Nicosia3
Omonia Aradippou4
APOEL1
Apea Akrotiriou0
Achnas1
Paralimni2
Omonia2
AEK Larnaca1
Aris Limassol0
AEL Limassol1
Nea Salamis2
Digenis Akritas3
Pafos2
Akritas Chloraka1
Quarter-finals
Apollon Limassol3
Omonia Aradippou2
APOEL3
Paralimni2
Omonia1
AEL Limassol2
Digenis Akritas0
Pafos3
Semi-finals
Apollon Limassol4
APOEL2
AEL Limassol2
Pafos5
Final
Apollon Limassol0
Pafos2