Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Apollon Limassol vs Pafos

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League 2025/2026 Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Sunjic I.
10' Event
Luckassen D.
Own Goal
21' Event
Thomas B.

AI Match Summary

Apollon Limassol in this Cyprus League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Apollon Limassol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Apollon Limassol
6%
Draws
4%
Pafos
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Apollon Limassol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Apollon Limassol have won more games recently than Pafos.
  • Model gives Apollon Limassol a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Apollon Limassol Clean Sheet 68%
Pafos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apollon Limassol Pafos
Matches Played 33 34
Wins 20 17
Draws 8 9
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Cyprus Cup
Apollon Limassol vs Pafos
0:2
May 3, 2026 Cyprus League
Apollon Limassol vs Pafos
2:1
Mar 22, 2026 Cyprus League
Pafos vs Apollon Limassol
1:1
Jan 4, 2026 Cyprus League
Apollon Limassol vs Pafos
2:1
Sep 13, 2025 Cyprus League
Pafos vs Apollon Limassol
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Apollon Limassol Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomas B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Pafos Compare

Top Goalscorer David Luiz
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apollon Limassol 95 / 100
Pafos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apollon Limassol Pafos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Apollon Limassol scored in 82% of their last 33 games.

Recent resilience: Apollon Limassol stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Difficult form: Pafos registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Apollon Limassol VS Pafos
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Apollon Limassol

(Home)
28 Jul
Apollon Limassol
3 : 0
Dila Gori
23 Jul
Dila Gori
0 : 4
Apollon Limassol
16 Jul
Apollon Limassol
0 : 0
AEK Larnaca
11 Jul
G.A. Eagles
0 : 3
Apollon Limassol
07 Jul
Utrecht
0 : 1
Apollon Limassol
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Pafos

(Away)
30 Jul
Pafos
4 : 0
Hajduk Split
23 Jul
Hajduk Split
2 : 0
Pafos
16 Jul
Slovan Bratislava
3 : 2
Pafos
12 Jul
Jagiellonia
1 : 0
Pafos
08 Jul
Jablonec
0 : 0
Pafos
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Omonia36276388:2487
2AEK Larnaca36209762:3369
3Apollon Limassol36207952:4167
4Pafos361881066:3862
5APOEL361571453:4552
6Aris Limassol361491361:4551
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)