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Apollon Paralimniou vs A. Asteras - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2022/2023 game between Apollon Paralimniou and A. Asteras finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Apollon Paralimniou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Apollon Paralimniou
30%
Draws
33%
A. Asteras
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Apollon Paralimniou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Apollon Paralimniou come out ahead of A. Asteras on wins alone.
  • Apollon Paralimniou are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Apollon Paralimniou Clean Sheet 20%
A. Asteras Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apollon Paralimniou A. Asteras
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.94 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Apollon Paralimniou vs A. Asteras
1:0
Nov 26, 2022 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
A. Asteras vs Apollon Paralimniou
2:0
Feb 6, 2022 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
A. Asteras vs Apollon Paralimniou
1:1
Nov 7, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Apollon Paralimniou vs A. Asteras
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apollon Paralimniou 40 / 100
A. Asteras 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apollon Paralimniou A. Asteras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Apollon Paralimniou Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Apollon Paralimniou scored in 60% of their last 35 games.

Defensive concern: A. Asteras conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Apollon Paralimniou went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Apollon Paralimniou VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Apollon Paralimniou

(Home)
27 Apr
Apollon Paralimniou
1 : 0
Alexandroupoli FC
16 Apr
Krya Vrysi
1 : 1
Apollon Paralimniou
12 Apr
Apollon Paralimniou
0 : 2
Panthrakikos
06 Apr
Apollon Paralimniou
0 : 0
Evosmou
30 Mar
Thermaikos FC
0 : 1
Apollon Paralimniou
Page 1 of 7

A. Asteras

(Away)
30 Apr
A. Asteras
2 : 2
Panthrakikos
23 Apr
A. Asteras
2 : 0
M. Alexandros Orfaniou
19 Apr
Chrisoupolis
4 : 1
A. Asteras
08 Apr
A. Asteras
0 : 3
Doxa Dramas
02 Apr
Aris Avatou
0 : 1
A. Asteras
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kampaniakos 28 17 8 3 50:19 59
2 Kavala 28 16 7 5 55:23 55
3 Poseidonas Michanionas 28 16 5 7 40:29 53
4 Doxa Dramas 28 14 7 7 52:32 49
5 Apollon Paralimniou 28 13 8 7 49:32 47
6 Panthrakikos 28 13 8 7 44:36 47
7 Chrisoupolis 28 11 8 9 38:34 41
8 Aris Avatou 28 13 2 13 29:35 41
9 Thermaikos FC 28 10 10 8 26:26 40
10 Pandramaikos 28 11 4 13 43:35 37
11 Vyron Kavala 28 7 11 10 36:37 32
12 A. Asteras 28 7 9 12 26:41 30
13 Orfeas Xanthi 28 8 6 14 31:49 30
14 Alexandroupoli FC 28 2 7 19 17:52 13
15 M. Alexandros Orfaniou 28 0 4 24 12:68 4
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2022/2023 (Promotion - Play Offs)