Sport Picks

Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 Georgios Kamaras Stadium

Apollon Smyrnis

0 - 1

Ethnikos Piraeus

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ethnikos Piraeus in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ethnikos Piraeus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Apollon Smyrnis

17%

Draws

13%

Ethnikos Piraeus

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Apollon Smyrnis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Ethnikos Piraeus have won more games recently than Apollon Smyrnis.
Apollon Smyrnis are the model's pick here, at 70%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%

Apollon Smyrnis Clean Sheet 68%

Ethnikos Piraeus Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Apollon Smyrnis	Ethnikos Piraeus
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	10	19
Draws	9	10
Losses	11	3
Goals Scored	0	1.88
Goals Conceded	0	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4

Ethnikos Piraeus vs Apollon Smyrnis

Possession: 53% - 59% Cards: 1 - 4

3:0

Dec 20, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4

Apollon Smyrnis vs Ethnikos Piraeus

Possession: 42% - 55% Cards: 2 - 1

0:1

May 14, 2006 Football League 2 - Group 1

Apollon Smyrnis vs Ethnikos Piraeus

Possession: 50% - 57% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

Jan 22, 2006 Football League 2 - Group 1

Ethnikos Piraeus vs Apollon Smyrnis

Possession: 43% - 46% Cards: 4 - 2

0:0

May 19, 1999 Super League

Ethnikos Piraeus vs Apollon Smyrnis

Possession: 47% - 55% Cards: 1 - 3

2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apollon Smyrnis 77 / 100

Ethnikos Piraeus 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Apollon Smyrnis Ethnikos Piraeus

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SMY Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Apollon Smyrnis found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Ethnikos Piraeus's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Ethnikos Piraeus let in goals in 38% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ethnikos Piraeus

0 Goals Scored 1.88

0 Goals Conceded 1.13

0% Over 1.5 63%

0% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Panionios	34	26	6	2	81:22	84
2	Ethnikos Piraeus	34	20	12	2	61:19	72
3	Almyros Gaziou	34	17	12	5	59:28	63
4	Aris Petroupolis	34	18	6	10	47:38	60
5	AO Ilisiakos	34	16	9	9	43:29	57
6	Ipato	34	14	9	11	45:34	51
7	Atsalenios FC	34	14	8	12	41:33	50
8	Agios Nikolaos	34	14	10	10	55:38	49
9	Chaidari	34	13	10	11	39:29	49
10	Ellopiakos	34	13	9	12	45:43	48
11	AO Proodeftiki	34	14	6	14	47:38	48
12	Apollon Smyrnis	34	10	12	12	39:37	42
13	Ermis Zonianon	34	9	10	15	36:54	37
14	Episkopi	34	9	10	15	40:54	37
15	Peramaikos	34	9	3	22	32:58	30
16	Fostiras	34	6	13	15	29:40	28
17	Paraskevi	34	5	5	24	26:82	17
18	Atromitos Piraeus	34	3	2	29	16:105	11