Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Apollon Smyrnis vs Ipato

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 Georgios Kamaras Stadium, Athens
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Apollon Smyrnis in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Apollon Smyrnis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Apollon Smyrnis
15%
Draws
45%
Ipato
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ipato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Ipato average 1.37 goals a game right now, well clear of Apollon Smyrnis's 1.28.
  • Model gives Apollon Smyrnis a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Apollon Smyrnis Clean Sheet 68%
Ipato Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apollon Smyrnis Ipato
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.28 1.37
Goals Conceded 1 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Apollon Smyrnis vs Ipato
3:0
Dec 3, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Ipato vs Apollon Smyrnis
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apollon Smyrnis 59 / 100
Ipato 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apollon Smyrnis Ipato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Apollon Smyrnis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Apollon Smyrnis found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Ipato conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Apollon Smyrnis has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Apollon Smyrnis VS Ipato
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Apollon Smyrnis

(Home)
04 Oct
Apollon Smyrnis
1 : 0
AO Proodeftiki
27 Sept
Diagoras FC
0 : 2
Apollon Smyrnis
28 Apr
Apollon Smyrnis
5 : 0
Atromitos Piraeus
24 Apr
Ethnikos Piraeus
3 : 0
Apollon Smyrnis
20 Apr
Apollon Smyrnis
0 : 1
Ellopiakos
Page 1 of 6

Ipato

(Away)
28 Apr
Ellopiakos
3 : 3
Ipato
24 Apr
Ipato
2 : 1
Aris Petroupolis
20 Apr
Ermis Zonianon
0 : 1
Ipato
14 Apr
Ipato
4 : 0
Paraskevi
07 Apr
Apollon Smyrnis
3 : 0
Ipato
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panionios 34 26 6 2 81:22 84
2 Ethnikos Piraeus 34 20 12 2 61:19 72
3 Almyros Gaziou 34 17 12 5 59:28 63
4 Aris Petroupolis 34 18 6 10 47:38 60
5 AO Ilisiakos 34 16 9 9 43:29 57
6 Ipato 34 14 9 11 45:34 51
7 Atsalenios FC 34 14 8 12 41:33 50
8 Agios Nikolaos 34 14 10 10 55:38 49
9 Chaidari 34 13 10 11 39:29 49
10 Ellopiakos 34 13 9 12 45:43 48
11 AO Proodeftiki 34 14 6 14 47:38 48
12 Apollon Smyrnis 34 10 12 12 39:37 42
13 Ermis Zonianon 34 9 10 15 36:54 37
14 Episkopi 34 9 10 15 40:54 37
15 Peramaikos 34 9 3 22 32:58 30
16 Fostiras 34 6 13 15 29:40 28
17 Paraskevi 34 5 5 24 26:82 17
18 Atromitos Piraeus 34 3 2 29 16:105 11
Promotion - Super League 2 2024/2025 (Main)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Relegation Play-offs (Main)