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Apolonia Fier U19 vs FC Astana U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 Elbasan Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Maksuti E.
16'
Madelkhan A.
44'
Rakipaj M.

AI Match Summary

Apolonia Fier U19 in this UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Apolonia Fier U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Apolonia Fier U19
22%
Draws
18%
FC Astana U19
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Apolonia Fier U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Astana U19 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Apolonia Fier U19.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Apolonia Fier U19.
  • Cup tournament structure in UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 57.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Apolonia Fier U19 Clean Sheet 19%
FC Astana U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apolonia Fier U19 FC Astana U19
Matches Played 4 14
Wins 1 3
Draws 1 2
Losses 2 9
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.6 4.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.60 4.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2022 UEFA Youth League
Apolonia Fier U19 vs FC Astana U19
3:1
Sep 15, 2022 UEFA Youth League
FC Astana U19 vs Apolonia Fier U19
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Apolonia Fier U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Maksuti E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kurti A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

FC Astana U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhumabekov S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apolonia Fier U19 58 / 100
FC Astana U19 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apolonia Fier U19 FC Astana U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Apolonia Fier U19 scored in 75% of their last 4 games.

FC Astana U19 let in goals in 86% of their last 14 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Apolonia Fier U19 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

FC Astana U19 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Apolonia Fier U19 VS FC Astana U19
1 Goals Scored 1
1.6 Goals Conceded 4.5
80% Over 1.5 100%
60% Over 2.5 100%
40% Over 3.5 75%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
AZ Alkmaar U196
Shamrock U191
Omonia U191
Crvena zvezda U193
Molde U192
Hibernian U193
Nantes U195
Pyunik Yerevan U190
Young Boys U195
Domzale U192
AIK U198
Racing Luxembourg U192
Genk U195
Slavia Prague U194
Coleraine U195
Pobeda U194
Slavia Sofia U192
Panathinaikos U1910
Zalgiris U192
Trencin U195
FC Astana U192
Apolonia Fier U194
Hajduk Split U195
Gabala U191
Miercurea Ciuc U191
Galatasaray U195
Rukh Lviv U191
Zaglebie U190
SC Ashdod U195
Borac Banja Luka U190
MTK Budapest U194
Jelgava U190
Final
AZ Alkmaar U194
Crvena zvezda U193
Hibernian U193
Nantes U191
Young Boys U194
AIK U193
Genk U1910
Coleraine U191
Panathinaikos U196
Trencin U193
Apolonia Fier U191
Hajduk Split U196
Galatasaray U192
Rukh Lviv U196
SC Ashdod U191
MTK Budapest U192